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Archive for the ‘Pharmaceutical Drug Discovery’ Category

FDA Contemplates Changes in Trial Design, Drug Development and Use of AI in Clinical Trials

Curator: Stephen J. Williams, Ph.D.

Several pharma companies just told the FDA what AI in clinical trials should look like.

It is not what most people expect.
I went back through the RTCT comment letters from Novartis, Lilly, Bayer, Daiichi and others. Read together, they are the clearest signal yet on how AI will get adopted in drug development over the next few years.
Three things they make clear.
Adoption starts at the data layer, not the decision layer. Every letter drew the same line: AI supports qualified clinical judgment, it does not replace it. Daiichi was explicit that AI should not autonomously make dose escalation or safety decisions. But underneath that line, they want automation everywhere. Reconciliation, coding consistency, discrepancy detection, safety surveillance. That is where AI enters trials first, and it is where the near-term value is.
The bar is oversight, not sophistication. Lilly put it best: the FDA should select for the most mature oversight of AI, not the most mature AI. Across the letters, the requirements are validation, audit trails, data lineage, change control, human review that is evidenced rather than assumed. A brilliant model with weak governance does not clear this bar. A well governed one doing unglamorous work does.
The industry is already building the plumbing. Lilly and Bayer, independently, both proposed a DMF-style pathway letting AI vendors disclose model documentation directly to the FDA with sponsors referencing it.
Put those together and the future looks less like AI making trial decisions and more like AI making trial data trustworthy fast enough for humans to decide sooner.
The sponsors who lead this will not be the ones with the most sophisticated models. They will be the ones whose data operations were modernized and able to clean enough to move in real time.

 

FDA News Release

FDA Announces Major Steps to Implement Real-Time Clinical Trials

Agency unveils real-time trial proofs-of-concept and upcoming pilot program

For Immediate Release:

April 28, 2026

On May 27, 2026, the FDA posted a notice in the Federal Register extending the comment period for the Request for Information until June 29, 2026. 

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration today announced two major steps as part of an initiative to advance the implementation of real-time clinical trials (RTCT). First, the agency unveiled the successful initiation of two proof-of-concept clinical trials that will report endpoints and data signals to the agency in real time. Second, the agency released a Request for Information (RFI) regarding a proposed pilot program for RTCT that will launch this summer.  

Early-phase clinical trials are a bottleneck in drug development, often characterized by high uncertainty, limited patient populations, and inefficient decision-making processes. Data is typically reported from sites to sponsors, who analyze and subsequently submit data to the FDA. With improvements in AI and data science, sponsors and trial sites have the opportunity to conduct real-time trials in a way that enhances safety monitoring and radically increases efficiency.  

“For 60 years, we’ve been conducting clinical trials in the same way, where key data signals can take years to reach the FDA. The lag time can delay regulatory decisions unnecessarily and slow down the drug development timeline,” said FDA Commissioner Marty Makary, M.D., M.P.H. “We are boldly advancing a modern approach whereby FDA scientists can view safety signals and endpoints in real time as a trial progresses. This will help us accelerate promising therapies, and build toward our ultimate goal of running real-time, continuous trials across all phases of drug development.”  

The FDA is announcing the successful initiation of proof-of-concept RTCTs by AstraZeneca and Amgen. AstraZeneca is conducting a Phase 2 multi-site trial, TRAVERSE, in patients with treatment-naïve mantle cell lymphoma, with participation from The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center and University of Pennsylvania. Amgen is conducting a Phase 1b trial, STREAM-SCLC, in patients with limited-stage small cell lung carcinoma and final site selection is in process. For each trial, the FDA met with the sponsor on the establishment of criteria for reporting signals in real time. The agency has since received and validated signals for AstraZeneca’s trial through Paradigm Health, thereby establishing the feasibility of the technical framework required for real-time signal sharing.

The FDA seeks to build on these proofs-of-concept with a broader pilot program. Today’s RFI seeks input on potential pilot program design and implementation, as well as evaluation metrics and success criteria.

“Real-time trials have been talked about for years. We demonstrated that it is not only possible, but also potentially transformative for the clinical trials ecosystem,” said Chief AI Officer Jeremy Walsh. “We have to consider our processes from the standpoint of a patient awaiting a potentially powerful treatment.”

Real-time clinical trials are an important step towards the agency’s goal of facilitating continuous trials. At present, most clinical development occurs in discrete phases. Because each defined phase of clinical development is run according to a protocol and typically as a separate study, there is generally a hiatus in the development program after one phase ends and the next begins. This slows the pace of product development. Because real-time trials allow the FDA to view key insights in real time, this hiatus could be eliminated or reduced to a minimum, enabling “continuous” trials.

The agency will accept comments on the RFI until May 29, 2026. The agency intends to disseminate final selection criteria in July and complete pilot selections in August. 

https://www.youtube.com/live/hPT6X4SKOjw?si=ZfLrn3NmYvyqFILm

 

https://www.ajmc.com/view/fda-will-require-only-1-study-to-approve-new-drugs-speeding-up-process

 

News|Articles|February 19, 2026

FDA Will Require Only 1 Study to Approve New Drugs, Speeding Up Process

Author(s)Julia Bonavitacola

Fact checked by: Christina Mattina

A commentary by FDA officials Vinay Prasad, MD, MPH, and Martin Makary, MD, MPH, details the new system for drug approvals in the US.

FDA Commissioner Martin Makary, MD, MPH, and his top deputy Vinay Prasad, MD, MPH, announced in a commentary published in The New England Journal of Medicine that the FDA will revamp its method of approving drugs for use in the US.1 The commentary announced that the agency’s historic reliance on 2 clinical trials will end, with only 1 pivotal trial needed for a drug to be approved for use nationwide.

“Going forward, the FDA’s default position is that 1 adequate and well-controlled study, combined with confirmatory evidence, will serve as the basis of marketing authorization of novel products,” the FDA officials wrote in their commentary.

The FDA had previously worked under guidelines stating that “adequate and well-controlled investigations” were needed before a drug could be approved for widespread use, which were interpreted as generally requiring 2 clinical investigations.2 These guidelines had been in place since 1998, with only supplementary guidance published in 2019 and 2023. The newly announced shift marks the first substantial change in the methods of FDA approvals since the FDA obtained the authority to grant marketing authorizations.1

Makary and Prasad noted that these guidelines had been flexible in the past—specifically in oncology, where 1 study was often enough for a drug approval—but were confusing to drug manufacturers seeking to understand when only 1 trial would be acceptable. Moving forward, the default of using only 1 trial to grant a drug approval should clear up questions surrounding the necessary number of trials.

“The FDA’s historical reliance on 2 clinical trials rather than 1 was intended to provide credible causal evidence that a therapy could improve clinical outcomes with acceptable safety in a world where biologic understanding was more limited than it is today,” the FDA officials wrote. “Two trials should be seen as just 1 of many interlocking facets of clinical credibility, and in 2026 there are powerful alternative ways to feel assured that our products help people live longer or better than requiring manufacturers to test them yet again.”

This move is another step in Makary’s attempts to shorten FDA reviews, which started when he began his tenure last year.3 These include mandating the use of artificial intelligence for staffers and offering new medications a 1-month drug assessment if the FDA believes that the drug serves a national interest.

About 60% of first-of-a-kind drugs have been approved based on a single study in the past 5 years due to legislative initiatives that encouraged flexibility in reviewing drugs for conditions that were hard to treat. The drugs more likely to be affected by this new standard are for common diseases rather than those for rare diseases or cancers, which were already more often receiving approval based on a single trial.

This announcement comes a day after the FDA announced that it will now review Moderna’s seasonal mRNA flu vaccine application, which it had previously refused to look at due to perceived safety and efficacy concerns.4 The increased scrutiny of vaccines presents a contrast to the newly streamlined default standard for FDA approvals.

References

  1. Prasad V, Makary MA. One pivotal trial, the new default option for FDA approval—ending the two-trial dogma. N Engl J Med. 2026;394(8):815-817. doi:10.1056/NEJMsb2517623
  2. Demonstrating substantial evidence of effectiveness with one adequate and well-controlled clinical investigation and confirmatory evidence. FDA. Updated November 30, 2023. Accessed February 19, 2026. https://www.fda.gov/regulatory-information/search-fda-guidance-documents/demonstrating-substantial-evidence-effectiveness-one-adequate-and-well-controlled-clinical
  3. Perrone M. FDA will drop two-study requirement for new drug approvals, aiming to speed access. AP News. Updated February 18, 2026. Accessed February 19, 2026. https://apnews.com/article/fda-drug-approval-studies-makary-prasad-a5aaa5501ae15f264bbd20d0dffa4dc4
  4. Steinzor P. FDA reverses course, will review Moderna’s mRNA flu vaccine. AJMC®. February 18, 2026. Accessed February 19, 2026. https://www.ajmc.com/view/fda-reverses-course-will-review-moderna-s-mrna-flu-vaccine

 

Pharm Stat. 2022 Aug 26;22(1):96–111. doi: 10.1002/pst.2262

Should the two‐trial paradigm still be the gold standard in drug assessment?

Stella Jinran Zhan 

1

, Cornelia Ursula Kunz 

2

, Nigel Stallard 

1,

✉

  • Author information
  • Article notes
  • Copyright and License information

PMCID: PMC10087480  PMID: 36054079

Abstract

Two significant pivotal trials are usually required for a new drug approval by a regulatory agency. This standard requirement is known as the two‐trial paradigm. However, several authors have questioned why we need exactly two pivotal trials, what statistical error the regulators are trying to protect against, and potential alternative approaches. Therefore, it is important to investigate these questions to better understand the regulatory decision‐making in the assessment of drugs’ effectiveness. It is common that two identically designed trials are run solely to adhere to the two‐trial rule. Previous work showed that combining the data from the two trials into a single trial (one‐trial paradigm) would increase the power while ensuring the same level of type I error protection as the two‐trial paradigm. However, this is true only under a specific scenario and there is little investigation on the type I error protection over the whole null region. In this article, we compare the two paradigms by considering scenarios in which the two trials are conducted in identical or different populations as well as with equal or unequal size. With identical populations, the results show that a single trial provides better type I error protection and higher power. Conversely, with different populations, although the one‐trial rule is more powerful in some cases, it does not always protect against the type I error. Hence, there is the need for appropriate flexibility around the two‐trial paradigm and the appropriate approach should be chosen based on the questions we are interested in.

 

Szczepan Baran

Making preclinical evidence predict the clinic for 2- and 4-Legged Patients |  CSO, Instem | Co-Founder, Digital Preclinical Society | Co-Chair, VQN | President, 3Rs Collaborative

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For fifty years, preclinical safety ran on one rule: do the animal study, then justify the exception. Last week the #FDA‘s #OncologyCenterofExcellence released a draft guidance that quietly turns that rule around. Read the headlines and it is an animal-reduction story. One relevant species instead of two. A single three-month study instead of separate one- and three-month studies. A structured risk assessment in place of a study. And yet the reduction is not the point. The precondition is.


Each of those moves is permitted only when you already understand the product, the #targetbiology, and the #toxicity well enough to defend the omission. The study used to be the default. Now the knowledge is the default, and the study is what you add when the knowledge runs out. That is a higher bar, not a lower one. Dropping a study you cannot defend is easy. Defending the decision is the work.

Here is the part that should focus the mind. Across 7,565 drugs and five species, only one of 26 system organ classes showed strong cross-species concordance for both small molecules and biologics. Running the study was never the same as understanding the risk. I wrote this week’s Digital Record on what the guidance actually asks of sponsors, and why the teams that win the timeline treat their evidence as an asset, not an archive. If you lead nonclinical safety or translational science for an oncology biologic or a conjugate, read it as an evidence standard, then ask the harder question of your own programs: which study are you running out of habit, and could you defend dropping it on Monday. Know more. Run less. Defend both.


Issue #3 is free here: https://lnkd.in/eSYzkh_x

 

FDA Reports Meeting Year One Goals for Reducing Animal Drug Testing

June 8, 2026

On May 29, 2026, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) released its latest guidance related to FDA’s intent to reduce unnecessary animal testing for nonclinical safety assessments, Oncology Pharmaceuticals: Streamlined Nonclinical Safety Studies for Biologics and Conjugated Products. The guidance is intended to help reduce unnecessary animal testing by incorporating an integrated knowledge-based risk assessment with a focus on three-month toxicology studies for certain oncology pharmaceuticals.

Sponsors may propose alternative approaches for a three-month general toxicology study for product classes not described in the guidance, provided such approaches are sufficient to address product safety. Such approaches for a three-month general toxicology study may include a non-sacrificial toxicology study, an alternative study design to reduce animal numbers, or a weight of evidence (WoE) risk assessment for products with well-understood targets to replace animal studies. These approaches could be supplemented with new approach methodologies (NAMs), as appropriate.

FDA’s recommendations cover general toxicology and WoE Assessment. For general toxicology, FDA stated that animal toxicology studies should use pharmacologically relevant species or WoE risk assessment in its absence. FDA stated that if pharmacological activity is similar to humans in both rodent and non-rodent species, then general toxicology may be conducted in a single rodent species and supplemented with WoE risk assessment as appropriate.

A WoE risk assessment may include multiple factors. The factors include nonclinical and clinical data generated with the investigational product (e.g., pharmacology, safety, and pharmacokinetics), a literature-based assessment of potential toxicities with the molecular target, toxicity findings in animals and humans associated with the same class of pharmaceuticals, and other data. The Center for Drug Evaluation and Research’s (CDER) oncology review divisions will determine when the WoE risk assessment is sufficient to address the safety risks based on the totality of evidence.

This guidance builds upon FDA’s initial Roadmap to Reducing Animal Testing in Preclinical Safety Studies (April 2025) to provide a strategic, stepwise approach using NAMs, such as organ-on-a-chip systems, computational modeling, and advanced in vitro assays (e.g., organoids and microphysiological systems). The principles come from a growing scientific recognition that animals are inadequate models of human health, i.e., over 90% of drugs that appear safe and effective in animals do not go on to receive approval in humans. In addition, the time and cost of long-term animal studies delay therapies reaching patients, e.g., developing a monoclonal antibody costs $600-750 million and may take up to nine years, with typical programs using 144 non-human primates at costs reaching $50,000 per animal.

FDA’s one-year progress report, Reducing Animal Testing in Nonclinical Studies Year One Progress and the Path Forward (April 2026) declared that the necessary foundations or goals had been met or exceeded, resulting in additional guidance. Some of those goals included:

  • On July 31, 2025, FDA made the Innovative Science and Technology Approaches for New Drugs pilot program permanent. The program employs the Drug Development Tool Qualification regulatory framework, providing a clear, predictable pathway for developers to gain formal FDA acceptance of NAMs.
  • In August 2025, FDA and the National Institutes of Health formalized a partnership in a Memorandum of Understanding to accelerate the standardization, qualification, and adoption of human-relevant alternative methods.
  • In October 2025, the CDER / Office of New Drugs Streamlined Nonclinical Studies and Acceptable New Approach Methodologies database went live, providing a searchable, regularly updated inventory of specific drug development contexts where streamlined nonclinical programs are acceptable.
  • In November 2025, FDA researchers from the National Center for Toxicological Research and CDER, collaborating with Emulate Inc. and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, published challenges and solutions in measuring commonly used biomarkers for drug-induced liver injury in a liver-on-a-chip platform.
  • On December 2, 2025, FDA released draft guidance, Monoclonal Antibodies: Streamlined Nonclinical Safety Studies.
  • On December 8, 2025, FDA crossed a technological threshold by qualifying the AI-Based Histologic Measurement of NASH its first AI-based drug development tool for use in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis clinical trials.
  • On March 18, 2026, FDA published a draft guidance document: General Considerations for the Use of New Approach Methodologies that established four core validation principles to transform the abstract question of “When is an alternative acceptable?” into concrete, actionable requirements. On the same date, FDA’s Level 2 update to “Pyrogen and Endotoxins Testing: Questions and Answers” guidance provided the flexibility for manufacturers to transition from Limulus Amoebocyte Lysate (LAL) reagents for bacterial endotoxin testing to transition from harvesting horseshoe crabs for production of LAL reagent to recombinant agents.

We will continue to monitor FDA’s continuing implantation of a framework to reduce animal testing in nonclinical studies.

This blog was drafted by Brian Malkin, a Spencer Fane attorney on the FDA Pharmaceutical and Biologics Market Team. For more information, visit spencerfane.com.

 

https://www.the-scientist.com/is-this-the-end-of-animal-testing-fda-announces-plans-to-phase-out-animals-in-drug-safety-studies-73031

 

F

or decades, preclinical testing in mice, rats, and nonhuman primates has been a crucial part of drug development, an important although not infallible way to ensure some measure of safety for human participants in clinical trials. In 2022, Congress passed the FDA Modernization Act 2.0, stating that the agency was no longer compelled by law to require animal testing.1 However, the act did not prohibit the FDA from requiring animal testing, and animal toxicity data remained an essential step in the path towards human trials.

But on April 10, the FDA announced plans to phase out these requirements, stating that they would be “reduced, refined, or potentially replaced” with New Approach Methodologies (NAMs). These methods include human-derived cell models, such as organoids and organ-on-a-chip systems, as well as in silico approaches such as pharmacokinetic modeling and toxicity-predicting machine learning algorithms. Within the year, certain monoclonal antibodies, which are most commonly used in the treatment of cancer and serious autoimmune disease, could be evaluated using a “primarily non-animal-based testing strategy.” According to the roadmap accompanying the FDA announcement, “In the long-term (3–5 years), FDA will aim to make animal studies the exception rather than the norm for pre-clinical safety/toxicity testing.”

This announcement has been met with both hopefulness and concern in the scientific community. On one hand, there is broad support for moving away from animal testing, which is ethically fraught, expensive, and not always predictive of human biological responses. On the other hand, scientists and pharmaceutical industry professionals have expressed that NAMs are not yet advanced enough to fully replace animal models.2,3 Moreover, there are concerns that dramatic reductions in budgets for scientific research and the firing of thousands of workers at the FDA and NIH will stall further development of NAMs and interfere with the functioning of the very systems that would be responsible for validating, standardizing, and monitoring the efficacy of these technologies.

Alex Rubinsteyn, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill researcher who uses machine learning approaches to inform the development of personalized cancer vaccines, supports reducing animal testing but is uncertain about how this will play out in practice in the current climate. “I think this could become a disaster,” he said. “But it could also potentially unlock a much faster rate of progress.”

Few would dispute the shortcomings of current animal testing pathways: About 90 percent of drugs that make it through preclinical trials never obtain FDA approval for use in humans, largely due to insufficient efficacy or safety.4 Joseph Wu, who studies patient-specific in vitro models of cardiovascular disease at Stanford University, said that this high failure rate is partly due to the inherent differences between human and rodent biology. Furthermore, he noted, “The heterogeneity that exists among humans cannot be captured by using a traditional mouse model.”

Additionally, despite attempts to streamline evaluations of drugs for currently untreatable diseases, “[Drug development] is still really slow and really expensive,” said Rubinsteyn. “And it’s unmatched to clinical realities for certain kinds of disease: There are sufficiently deadly diseases where you really would want to go much faster than you’re allowed to go.”

How Do In Vitro and In Silico Approaches Stack Up Against In Vivo?

Despite the inherent flaws in animal testing, many researchers say that NAMs are not yet advanced enough to fully replace traditional drug safety studies. For example, in a late 2024 report to the FDA Science Board, members of the NAMs subcommittee—convened in 2023 to provide recommendations on integrating NAMs into regulatory processes—wrote that, “Technical limitations to current NAMs exist…today, no assays fully capture the critical hazard endpoints for assessing all currently existing human or animal organ systems; therefore, NAMs cannot fully eliminate the use of integrated physiological systems such as in animal and human trials.”2

In a published response to the FDA announcement, the president of the National Association for Biomedical Research, Matthew Bailey, echoed these sentiments. “No AI model or simulation has yet demonstrated the ability to fully replicate all the unknowns about many full biological systems.”

Similarly, Rubinsteyn noted that while these models can be useful when the space is sufficiently constrained, in other situations, they are still no match for the complexity of biology. “The thing that I work on the most—personalized cancer vaccines—is totally plagued by machine learning models not capturing the relevant realm.”

“We could improve those models with cell lines, but ultimately, the cell lines will be different if we put them in the context of a living organism,” he continued. “[In vivo], the tumor cells will shift what they express. They have to deal with being in contact with other cells in the tissue. They’ll have to pull in vasculature, and they’ll have to deal with the immune environment. So, they’re going to shift how they behave.”

To address this problem, other research groups are building organ-on-a-chip systems as a closer approximation of how cells behave in living tissues. These models can have layers of cells supported by an extracellular matrix with a simplified vascular system, recapitulating some of the cell-cell interactions and mechanical forces present in a living organism.

Yu Shrike Zhang, a Harvard Medical School researcher who uses bioprinting, microfluidics, and other techniques to create improved organ-on-a-chip platforms, noted that these models are quite advanced for certain tissue types.5 “For the liver, the models are pretty precise in general,” Zhang said. “It’s been [studied] for a very long time, and people know exactly how it works.”

Indeed, a liver-on-a-chip model developed by the biotechnology company Emulate, Inc., was able to correctly identify drugs known to be toxic or nontoxic to the liver with a sensitivity of 87 percent and a specificity of 100 percent.6

Using organ-on-a-chip models, Zhang said, “In three to five years, I think we can probably get to a pretty high level in terms of testing [toxicity or biological responses] for individual organs.” Modeling interactions between different organs, however, is a more challenging task. Crosstalk between organ systems is complex and incompletely understood, and organs can be influenced, or influence each other, via changes in metabolism, blood circulation, immune function, endocrine signalling, or nervous system activity.7

Scaling is also a concern, according to Zhang. As size changes, different physical forces and properties increase or decrease in different ways. So, it is not yet entirely clear how to best model a 200-pound human body using organ-on-a-chip systems, some of which may be only a few cell layers thick.

“Things are quite complicated, both biologically and in terms of how these devices operate,” said Zhang. “Being able to really reproduce that organism-level interaction—I think that’s still something that will be really important to look into. Maybe that’s something that’s going to be mature in the next three to five years? I mean, no one knows. But I think that’s probably one of the major limitations right now.”

Refine, Reduce, Replace and the Promise of NAMS

Even scientists who are extremely enthusiastic about NAMs seem to view them as a tool to reduce, not completely replace animal testing. Wu, for example, has spent decades developing in vitro models using cardiomyocytes derived from human induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) to improve our understanding of cardiovascular disease. He has created an extensive biobank of human iPSCs, capturing genetic diversity in health and disease, and even founded a company, Greenstone Biosciences, which aims to accelerate the drug discovery process by combining in vitro and in silico approaches.

However, Wu said, “I’m a proponent of using all models. I’m not a proponent of saying that, ‘Oh, in the future, we should just get rid of mouse models.’” Instead, he said, applying these strategies prior to animal testing could greatly reduce the number of animals that would be needed for each experiment, enabling researchers to identify promising targets and screen for well-defined types of toxicity.

For example, Wu was part of a project led by fellow Stanford University cardiovascular biologist Mark Mercola, in which the team used iPSC-derived human cardiomyocytes and machine learning to classify existing drugs as low risk or intermediate/high risk for causing dangerous arrhythmias. Using area under the curve as a measure of the model’s accuracy—for which 0.5 indicates a random classifier and one is a perfect classifier—the model correctly identified risk with an area under the curve value of 0.95.8 In the future, a system like this one could help researchers spot potentially cardiotoxic compounds early in the drug development process. This has the potential to prevent the investment of time, money, and animal lives into investigating a drug that might treat one disease very well but be ultimately useless because of severe adverse effects.

Furthermore, unlike studies performed in strains of genetically identical mice, research with human cells can provide not only general safety predictions, but they also help identify which individuals might be most at risk for particular side effects and even suggest mechanisms for mitigating these effects.

For example, the chemotherapy drug doxorubicin can lead to heart failure in a subset of patients, but for many years, the mechanism of this cardiotoxicity was not known, and there was no way to predict which patients were at risk. In a study of eight breast cancer patients, Wu and his team showed that iPSC-derived cardiomyocytes from patients who experienced this side effect were more sensitive to doxorubicin toxicity than cells from patients who did not. 9 In the future, this could serve as a tool for screening patients prior to treatment. In a subsequent study, the researchers used a CRISPR-based approach to screen cardiomyocytes for genes that contributed to this vulnerability. One gene, which coded for the enzyme carbonic anhydrase 12, seemed to play a large role: When expression of this gene was inhibited in the cells, they were protected from doxorubicin toxicity.10 An antagonist of this enzyme, Indisulam, was also protective in heart cells. Only after all these experiments did the researchers test the drug in mice.

Continue reading below…

Since then, Wu and his team have used iPSC-derived cells, patient data, and AI to identify a candidate compound for the treatment of marijuana-induced vasculature inflammation, and two potential therapies for cardiac fibrosis.11–13 “These three papers all have mouse models, but they’re toward the end,” said Wu. “They’re only done for validation—the initial screen, initial validation, initial design, all that stuff is done [using] organoids, stem cells, and AI.”

The first candidate is currently in a Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of inflammation associated with heart failure, the second is in an open-label study for treating idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. In the coming years, studies such as these will provide crucial data to answer the question of whether these newer drug development techniques can increase efficiency and reduce failure rates in clinical trials.

An Uncertain Future for Drug Development

Much work remains to be done, however, if animal testing is to be truly replaced in the next three to five years. In addition to the development of the NAMs technologies themselves, the FDA roadmap also calls for the creation of open-access toxicity information databases, developing strategies to validate NAMs, determining appropriate thresholds for eliminating animal testing, figuring out how to standardize these techniques so that they can be compared across many different laboratories, coordinating with other federal agencies, and monitoring how well all of this is working.

“Transitioning from animal-based testing to NAMs for safety will require careful planning, robust science, and collaboration,” the roadmap states.

But will this be possible in the chaos currently afflicting many government agencies and the dramatic changes to support for scientific research in the United States? The Trump administration has already terminated 1.8 billion dollars in National Institutes of Health (NIH) grants; the administration’s proposal for the upcoming year would slash the budget of the NIH by 40 percent.14,15

Some of these governmental budget cuts and funding freezes adversely impact the laboratories that have been instrumental in developing the very NAMs technologies the FDA is hoping to promote. For example, Harvard University bioengineer Donald Ingber, a pioneer in organ-chip research and scientific founder of Emulate, Inc., received stop-work orders on two major organ-on-a-chip projects in late April 2025.

Beyond the technologies themselves, planning and collaboration efforts may also be impacted by the major changes at these agencies. So far, 2025 has been marked by many cancelled or postponed scientific meetings at the FDA and NIH, as well as firings of thousands of workers, including many top-level officials and a large portion of communications roles, and the resignation of Peter Marks, director of Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research.

Rubinsteyn, for his part, worries about how reductions in animal testing requirements will play out in such an environment, raising concerns that insufficient oversight could create opportunities for unscrupulous companies to bring potentially unsafe drugs to market.

“I do think that this is, in principle, a positive direction for change,” he said. But depending on how these changes are implemented, “it could go quite wrong.”

Disclosure of conflicts of interest: Yu Shrike Zhang sits on the scientific advisory board and holds options with Xellar Biosystems.

Comparative Study 

Toxicol Sci

. 2015 Dec;148(2):355-67. doi: 10.1093/toxsci/kfv189. Epub 2015 Oct 5.

Correlation of In Vivo Versus In Vitro Benchmark Doses (BMDs) Derived From Micronucleus Test Data: A Proof of Concept Study

Lya G Soeteman-Hernández 1, Mick D Fellows 2, George E Johnson 3, Wout Slob 1

Affiliations Expand

Abstract

In this study, we explored the applicability of using in vitro micronucleus (MN) data from human lymphoblastoid TK6 cells to derive in vivo genotoxicity potency information. Nineteen chemicals covering a broad spectrum of genotoxic modes of action were tested in an in vitro MN test using TK6 cells using the same study protocol. Several of these chemicals were considered to need metabolic activation, and these were administered in the presence of S9. The Benchmark dose (BMD) approach was applied using the dose-response modeling program PROAST to estimate the genotoxic potency from the in vitro data. The resulting in vitro BMDs were compared with previously derived BMDs from in vivo MN and carcinogenicity studies. A proportional correlation was observed between the BMDs from the in vitro MN and the BMDs from the in vivo MN assays. Further, a clear correlation was found between the BMDs from in vitro MN and the associated BMDs for malignant tumors. Although these results are based on only 19 compounds, they show that genotoxicity potencies estimated from in vitro tests may result in useful information regarding in vivo genotoxic potency, as well as expected cancer potency. Extension of the number of compounds and further investigation of metabolic activation (S9) and of other toxicokinetic factors would be needed to validate our initial conclusions. However, this initial work suggests that this approach could be used for in vitro to in vivo extrapolations which would support the reduction of animals used in research (3Rs: replacement, reduction, and refinement).

Keywords: TK6 cells, benchmark dose 

https://www.drugdiscoverynews.com/why-toxicology-is-still-the-toughest-test-for-nam-adoption-17194

 

Toxicology remains the most challenging field for adopting new approach methodologies (NAMs) as it requires predicting systemic, long-term human health effects that are inherently complex to replicate outside a living organism. While NAMs offer human-relevant data, the industry faces significant hurdles in validating these methods to the same level of trust as traditional animal models.

DDN spoke with Justin Boyd, Product Manager at Sartorius, to explore how NAMs are being applied in practice across drug discovery and safety assessment, and what ultimately determines whether they transition from scientifically compelling tools into routine components of toxicology workflows.

You’ve spent much of your career building biologically relevant cellular models of disease. How does that emphasis on relevance shape how you think about NAMs in toxicology, compared with more traditional animal-based approaches?

I recently joined the vendor side of NAMs. For nearly two decades before that, as a drug hunter, I was less focused on building models and more on applying them. In that context, I thought of NAMs as fit-for-purpose tools to rapidly explore the effects of experimental drugs on the proximal human biology I care about.

Now, as Product Manager of a NAMs portfolio, I still strongly believe in that utility. The strengths of NAMs lie in: (1) conservation of human biology, (2) speed to data-driven decision-making, and (3) cost to execute study. That said, I don’t see NAMs as replacing the value of a whole organism — whether mouse, rat, or non-human primate. A preclinical toxicity study in animals provides a more comprehensive view of how a compound behaves in the context of an intact organism, including systemic interactions that are still not well captured in vitro.

However, NAMs create an opportunity to rank and/or differentiate compounds with higher molecular resolution while remaining “in human.” That kind of insight can meaningfully inform decisions about which compounds are worth advancing into more expensive and time-consuming animal studies.

Ultimately, I think of NAMs for toxicity as key complementary models for evaluating tissue-specific risk to drive decision to go into the animal models, leading to better stewardship of resources for drug discovery and animal welfare.

NAMs are often discussed as ethical or regulatory advances, but from your perspective, where do they most clearly outperform legacy toxicology methods scientifically?

With respect to performance, there are two clear areas where NAMs excel. First, NAMs can recapitulate aspects of human biology more faithfully than preclinical species. This becomes especially important when studying the proximal biology engaged by an experimental drug, where species differences can significantly limit interpretability.

Second, NAMs substantially reduce the time and cost required to reach a decision. From a project or program management perspective, the ability to make informed and confident stage-gate decisions is where the highest value lies. In this context, NAMs enable a more expedient and cost-effective approach to predicting toxicity in the pre-Investigational New Drug (IND) to IND space.

Although, it’s likely that animals will be used at this point, NAMs can and should be deployed to derisk the Good Laboratory Practice (GLP) toxicity studies in animals and potentially reduce the numbers of cohorts and time for treatments.

Many toxicology assays still rely on relatively reductionist systems. How close are we to NAMs that genuinely capture the complexity of chronic diseases like Alzheimer’s or Parkinson’s when it comes to assessing safety?

I think this is a tricky question, and I would start by noting that the complexity of Alzheimer’s (AD) and Parkinson’s disease (PD) pathobiology is part of what limits our ability to clearly distinguish mechanisms that cause disease from those that simply exacerbate progression. As such, “who, when, and how” these diseases are treated and the potential toxicity from treatment remain controversial.

In some cases, NAMs, particularly complex in vitro models with multiple cell types and structures, can recapitulate complex non-cell autonomous biology, such as the impact of inflammation on neuronal health. Moreover, computation-based NAM tools can help predict the trajectory of biology and stratify at-risk populations for toxicity outcomes.

So, when asking how close we are to NAMs that genuinely capture the complexity of chronic diseases like AD and PD, I would say they are, in many ways, as close to recapitulating that complexity as our current understanding allows us to define it.

Drug-induced nephrotoxicity remains a major clinical challenge. From your experience working with human kidney microtissues, why has traditional animal toxicology struggled to predict renal risk in humans?

It sounds cliché, but animals are not humans. In the case of the kidney, there are two key drivers of translational gaps.

First, the expression of key kidney genes and their protein products — particularly those governing transport and metabolism — differs significantly between preclinical species and humans. Second, baseline renal metabolism itself varies across species, further compounding these differences.

Given that the primary function of the kidney is to clear waste, toxins, and excess fluids from the blood, these species-specific differences directly impact our ability to predict nephrotoxicity using traditional animal models.

You’ve worked extensively with 3D human epithelial tissue models. What does moving from 2D cultures to 3D systems fundamentally change in how we understand toxicity mechanisms?

The difference between traditional 2D cultures and 3D systems, in the context of toxicity, is relatively straightforward. By recapitulating tissue structure, 3D models allow us to move beyond simply asking whether a compound is toxic, to understanding where that toxicity occurs and to what extent.

Understanding the relationship between exposure (where a polarized, functional cell sees a compound) and response is uniquely addressed in our systems compared to 2D. This is particularly important in epithelial tissues, where basolateral versus apical exposure can lead to very different toxicity outcomes. In skin, intestine, and lung, for example, cells may be exposed either from the basolateral side via systemic circulation or from the apical side through local administration or environmental contact. That distinction is fundamentally lost in 2D systems.

Do you see NAMs primarily as screening tools, or are they mature enough to inform dose selection, risk stratification, and IND-enabling decisions?

I believe NAMs have always been able to inform dose selection, risk stratification, and IND-enabling decisions. In fact, screening may not be the best deployment of NAMs due to scalability challenges and cost. The appropriateness of a NAM’s utility is dependent upon the limitations of the human biology you can explore within the NAM and the modality of the therapeutic. If the NAM contains the biology that you are targeting and the therapeutic modality is compatible with the model, then the NAM should be appropriate for dose selection, risk stratification and IND decisions.

One advantage you’ve previously highlighted is integrating human tissue models with live-cell analysis. Why is temporal resolution — seeing toxicity unfold in real time — so important?

There is both a practical and a biologically relevant dimension to the importance of temporal resolution in toxicity responses. From a practical standpoint, when developing any assay, identifying the time point at which the signal is maximal is essential for ensuring robustness and is a key part of assay optimization. In the context of toxicity, being able to observe the behavior and toxicity signals over time will enable you to identify the most appropriate time of incubation for maximal signal response.

Biologically, however, toxicity is not a single event — it manifests in different ways depending on mechanism. If you use tool compounds that induce toxicity through different mechanisms, knowing the kinetics of the toxicity response can help resolve whether your assay can distinguish direct and indirect mechanisms leading to toxicity.

In that sense, time to toxicity signal can be as informative as the signal itself, particularly when evaluating unknown compounds. In the context of advanced cell models for toxicity, often the exposure times can be prolonged (days to weeks) to predict clinical outcome.

NAMs can be scientifically compelling but still fail to gain traction. From a product and commercialization standpoint, what determines whether a NAM actually gets embedded into routine toxicology workflows?

This is the $100+ million question. Adoption of any platform is influenced by a range of factors — cost, fit-for-purpose utility, biological relevance, format, and ease of use among them. In practice, different players in the field tend to emphasize the aspects they value most, often based on their own balance of biological relevance versus scalability.

At the moment, traction tends to emerge organically through a “let’s try it and see if it works” approach. This is not unique to NAMs. However, toxicology is a particularly high-bar area, where established gold standards inherently challenge any new model system more than exploratory or discovery settings do. That makes sense: Toxicology groups are ultimately responsible for generating a weight of evidence that supports progression to the clinic.

In that context, NAMs introduce both opportunity and friction. While they offer potentially better predictive insight, they also require additional effort to validate against established approaches — often more effort than is required to continue using what is already accepted. Because of this, I would argue that regulators are the key gatekeepers of NAM adoption in toxicology. Ultimately, they define what is essential versus optional in the data package required to advance into the clinic. In my view, the biggest lever for accelerating adoption is therefore not customer preference, but regulatory acceptance.

What is the incentive to explore better models of toxicology if existing ones are “good enough” to reach regulatory endpoints? We could discuss the ethics and scientific rationale around choosing better, more predictive models. But if NAMs remain encouraged rather than required, it is difficult to expect meaningful acceleration in their uptake. I really hope that regulators recognize that there’s a big difference between accepting NAMs and requiring them. Making NAMs essential for toxicity studies for IND filing would catalyze their adoption far more effectively than incremental product refinement alone.

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About the Author

  • Bree Foster, PhD

  • Bree Foster is a science writer at Drug Discovery News with over 2 years of experience at Technology Networks, Drug Discovery News, and other scientific marketing agencies. She holds a PhD in comparative and functional genomics from the University of Liverpool and enjoys crafting compelling stories for science.

he 90% myth

Posted: by Chris Magee on 9/06/25

More on these Topics:

ANIMAL RIGHTSANIMAL STATISTICSDRUG DEVELOPMENTFACT CHECKMISINFORMATIONMYTHBUSTING

Why do 90% of new drugs fail?

If you’ve read anything on animal testing, you’ll have read something to the effect that ‘more than 90% of drugs tested in animals fail in humans’. Is that some damning indictment of animal models? Absolutely not. Let’s unpack this a bit.

Note: The 90% statistic refers to regulatory safety testing. Other sorts of animal use, like discovering decapod sentience through ‘curiosity-driven’ basic research, will be discussed in another article since the applications are so broad and the application of the research so complex that percentages are usually meaningless. 

Tl;DR:

The drug attrition rate, which isn’t 90%, isn’t due to the use of animals and there’s no such thing as a drug that’s developed and tested using only animals before heading to human trials.

Let’s start at the beginning.

 

How drugs get licensed

In drug trials, all drugs intended for humans are tested on humans: they are tested and refined through three stages of clinical trial before being licensed for public use. Phase 1 of human testing looks primarily at safety, whereas phases 2 and 3 are for safety and then efficacy. Each stage uses more human volunteers than the last and the later stages might include those with a particular medical condition. There is also a post-licensing stage 4, where new treatments are introduced to the wider population, for instance into the clinic by specialist doctors.  

Image: Sanford Health 

Adverse reactions noted after a drug is licensed are fed back to the medicine’s regulator, the Medicines and Healthcare Devices Regulatory Authority (MHRA), which might do things like update the safety information in the booklet that comes with the medicines. Lots of medicines have their safety advice updated as the medicine is used in a greater number of patients.  

This is because drugs are licensed on the grounds of what they do in general, e.g. shrink a tumour or lower blood sugar. However, to what extent they work in an individual will vary greatly depending on dozens of factors from genetics to weight to hormones – even to the time of day. This is why there are specialist doctors for different diseases, as well as GPs, who take a patient-centric perspective on the medical tools available for that person (or animal). Hence, very few medicines are withdrawn – it’s usually a case of finessing the practice and guidance on using them safely and optimally and adapting their use for specific patients. 

 

Preclinical testing

Before drugs can go to human trials, they must pass a standard battery of safety tests using both animal and non-animal methods. These tests tend to be specified by bodies like the OECD (mainly for chemicals) and the International Conference on Harmonisation (mainly for pharmaceuticals), which can pool knowledge about how to use the best methods of safety testing, whatever these may be. 

Non-animal methods of drug testing can perform well but tend to be limited in scope to one organ system or one effect, whereas animal models tend to give a broader picture of how drugs will act in a whole living body and across a dozen organs at once. 

For some applications, non-animal methods are enough to conclude that drug development shouldn’t proceed, and the compound is therefore eliminated before hitting either the human or animal testing stages.  

With those drugs that do proceed, animals are very good at ‘predicting’ if a drug will be ‘safe’ in the first human trials.  

There are different statistical tools that can be used to determine this safety. Bayesian modelling (figure 1 below) can find ‘true positives’ (PPVs) and ‘true negatives’ (NPV) i.e. a percentage certainty that something will be safe in stage 1 human trials. Likelihood ratios (figure 2) offer a probability of safety. 

Bayesian modelling, NPV safety prediction
Organ category  Dog to human   Mouse to human  
Pulmonary  96%  95% 
Biochemical  95%  93% 
Renal  95%  96% 
Ophthalmology  94%  96% 
Haematology  93%  92% 
Cutaneous  91%  82% 
Musculoskeletal  91%  92% 
Cardiovascular  91%  75% 
Nervous system  90%  93% 
Liver  88%  89% 
Gastrointestinal  76%  69%

Figure 1: IQ Consortium translational database 

Likelihood ratios
Pre-test probability  Pre-test odds  Post-test odds  Post-test probability 
10%  0.11  3.16  76% 
20%  0.25  7.11  88% 
30%  0.43  12.18  92% 
40%  0.67  18.95  95% 
50%  1.00  28.43  97% 
60%  1.50  42.65  98% 
70%  2.33  66.34  99% 
80%  4.00  113.72  99% 
90%  9.00  255.87  100% 

Figure 2: Data from https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24329742/  

Different species of animal do more or less well at translating to humans depending on the target organs, the type of thing being tested and the size of its molecules. These species differences are well-known, as is the fact that you can increase your certainty that something will be safe or not if a rodent and a non-rodent species both yield similar results. 

Thus, the normal testing regime uses species like rats, plus a non-rodent species, usually a dog or primate. Around three-quarters of tests involve suffering in the mildest category, such as a blood test, with a quarter in the moderate category and very few in severe. This is because most of the information about the possible dangers of a new drug comes from a post-mortem of the animal that reveals changes to the internal organs and tissues, rather than observing whether a live animal gets sick or not. 

The fact that animals are good predictors of safety in humans is important because 40% of potential new drugs are ultimately removed due to failing these pre-human tests. This means that 40% of possible new drugs would have killed or seriously injured humans in phase 1 trials without the pre-human tests (which would be about 900 people a year in the UK).  

 

Preclinical results shape the human trial

But this is not the whole picture. The preclinical tests of all descriptions, including effects seen in animals, human cells, tissue samples and more, help to inform the design of human clinical trials in the first place. For instance, one or several of the tests might hint at potential issues with the liver, so extra measures can be taken to minimise that risk during the human trial. 

All drugs have potential side effects, and their use is always a balance of risk vs potential benefit for the individual patient. All of this means that a large number of drugs proceed to human trials as ‘safe enough to try’ but with a question mark over whether their risks will be manageable or not.  

An example of this management is paracetamol, which works better as a painkiller if taken regularly every 4-6 hours to allow it to build up in the tissues and bloodstream. However, we all know not to take a day’s dose all at once. 

 

So, what of the 90%? 

Drugs ‘fail’ at every stage of development and for several reasons. For every 100 possible drugs that even get to the animal testing stage, some 5,000 other compounds have already been eliminated. Drugs continue to be removed all the way through human testing too, in ever smaller numbers as we zero in on something that’s going to work. 

Percentages thus become less and less helpful for understanding what is happening. Having eliminated 5,000 candidates, for instance, we can be left with 10. If three of those 10 fails, then that’s 30%, which sounds massive, but it’s only 0.06% of the huge pile of 5,000 possible drugs we started with. 

In the same way, the 90% statistic is easy to misunderstand. 

As we’ve seen, 40% of possible drugs are removed as dangerous by the pre-human safety tests that are mainly in animals. The 90% that ‘fail’, then, is 90% of the 60% that pass preclinical trials. Also, by ‘failure’ it means to have failed for the purpose intended – many drugs can later be repurposed even if they fail in their intended application. 

What all this means is, for every 100 potential new drugs at the start of the process, 6 will become drugs in the pharmacy, 40 will be removed by preclinical tests and 54 will be removed for other reasons. 

Exactly what those reasons are is the critical point. 

Of those 54: 

  • C40-50% (26 drugs) will not be effective at the safe dose (something the animal test isn’t looking for); 
  • C25-30% (15 drugs) suspected or known toxicities cannot be managed; 
  • C10-15% (8 drugs) don’t absorb into the body or get to their target organ properly; and 
  • c10% (5 drugs) fail due to a lack of commercial need or misplaced strategic planning. 

In this way, lots of drugs fail to make it to the chemists’ shelves, but this has very little to do with the efficacy of the animal model as a safety screen for stage 1 clinical trials. Animals do that job very well.

What is exciting about new approaches – whether they use animals or not – is that they may be able to chip away at the other reasons for failure (more on this later).

 

Different targets have different success rates

One other complication is that ‘failure’ rates are not uniform.

Currently, translation from preclinical findings to clinical success varies a lot depending on the disease area. Eye treatments are about 35% successful, vaccines are about 40%. The most complex diseases of the most complex organs have, as you’d expect, a much higher failure rate which skews the averages and gives you this slightly bogus 90% figure by some methods of counting. However, there is no evidence that implicates animal models as the major reason for failure. In fact, researchers who found a c95% drug attrition rate also found that 86% of positive results in animals translated into positive results in humans.

This accords perfectly with the IQ Consortium translation database, of animal to human translation, recreated as a table in figure 1 above, which also averages out at 86%  

 

So, where do NAMs fit in?

The term ‘New Approach Methodologies‘ refers to the subset of non-animal technologies concerned with regulatory testing – i.e. the tests required by governments. Non-animal technologies have been in development and used in drug testing since the early 1970s, being applied alongside animal models to try to design better drugs, better clinical trials and spot potentially dangerous compounds. They have a more limited range of applications than a whole-body system, but can nevertheless be a quick, cheap and useful way of spotting red flags or pointing to a way forward. They are a standard part of the toolkit for drug testing, with their use accelerating exponentially in the past 20 years as technology improves. We have ever-better non-animal tests, which are still limited but can tell us enough in some cases to guide a decision on what compounds to try to turn into medicines. 

 

Organs on chips

Some of these techniques are relatively new approaches like organ-on-a-chip technologies. First conceived in the late 1990s, the first successful chip was developed in 2010. These devices, roughly the size of an AA battery, are made from a flexible, translucent polymer. Inside are tiny tubes, each less than a millimetre in diameter, lined with living cells taken from a particular human or animal organ. 

These can spot toxicities ranging from liver issues with new drugs to the effects on animals of industrial chemicals. They can be used early to avoid animal use and some emerging technologies could prevent up to 10% of drugs that would ultimately fail from entering animal trials in the first place. In a study completed in late 2022, for instance, liver chips identified compounds that were deemed safe enough to try by animal models, but would ultimately harm humans in wider testing, with 87% accuracy.  

That doesn’t mean it can spot 87% of drug toxicities, but 87% of those that would have failed later and specifically for liver-related safety reasons. Given that 40% of compounds are removed prior to human testing, 30% later fail due to unmanageable toxicity and 30% of those do so due to effects on the liver, using this test routinely would help to reduce the number of drugs that later failed human trials for unmanageable toxicity by around a third, or 4-5 drugs for every 100 entering testing. 

However, if also used early in the drug testing process they might also spot toxicities that would previously have needed an animal to detect, and this might be enough to halt testing. Liver toxicity is the reason for 14% of failures during preclinical tests so this would amount to a further 5 compounds per 100 that would not progress to the animal stage. As you can see from liver chip vendor Emulate’s own graphic, their chip reduces animal use, and is applied before animal trials. There would still, by their model, be an 82% failure rate and, of course, most drugs don’t fail for liver-related reasons.

Source: https://emulatebio.com/toxicology/

The UK authorises around 35 new drugs for use each year, yet for every drug approved another 9 fail, which would be around 315 trials, some 10% of which could be halted before hitting the animal or human stage, potentially preventing thousands of research animals from being born. This would undoubtedly save pharma companies money since human trials get more expensive the more they progress – from $ 25 million in Phase 1 to $ 54 million in Phase 3. 

The UK’s national centre for Refining, Reducing or Replacing animal use has a project to replace ‘second species’ animals like dogs and primates with computer models that have passed its proof-of-principle stage and are well into development, albeit with another three years of development left to run.

Even if this doesn’t work, it will tell us what we need to do to get it to work. As Jonas Salk, who used primates to create a polio vaccine, once said “There is no such thing as a failed experiment because learning what doesn’t work is a necessary step to learning what does.”  

 

New targets

Animal numbers will inevitably continue their steady march, with an occasional lurch, downward in terms of numbers, but it’s important to understand how all this fits together. Whilst it’s very easy to predict the future in general terms – clean energy, personalised medicine, healthier food – actually getting there is a bit of a slog. 

The other big reason for drug failure beyond the liver, for instance, is Torsades de Pointes. French for “twisting of the points” it’s a dangerous heart arrhythmia that’s the reason for a very similar proportion of preclinical and clinical failures as liver problems. It makes heart chips the next big target for validation, with sincere hopes that they can be made to work as well as liver chips. 

However, this is the low-hanging fruit on offer in terms of organ chips, with diminishing returns as the targets get harder, and the target systems get more complicated. A test for the heart or a kidney is one thing, a test for the Central Nervous System is quite another. In addition, heart arrhythmia and liver issues are the biggest single areas of failure for safety reasons, but the remaining 40% of reasons affect many other organs, each of which will need its own new animal or non-animal testing strategy. 

 

Where next? 

There is no one approach, then, that will create a revolution. We need new approaches, and we need new improvements to old approaches. My latest laptop, for instance, isn’t conceptually different from the first laptop I owned but it’s a lot lighter and faster due to hundreds of innovations across all of its components. Improvements to clinical outcomes will come from organ chips, big data and AI, but also from higher standards of scientific rigour, new animal models, more powerful technology and the synergies that arise from using it all together. 

Happily, there are very few regulatory barriers to adopting new non-animal technologies, the ethical framework for using new animal models is well-understood and nobody is opposed to using non-animal methods over animals. In addition, whatever the costs of failure during clinical trials, the cost of preclinical R&D and discovery clocks in at $403 million, making it easily the most expensive single stage in the drug development process. Hence, the greatest savings in cost or animal use associated with improvements in technology may have nothing to do with the requirements of the regulator and can be implemented as soon as new technologies mature. 

We do need to accelerate the validation of new animal and non-animal methods now that they’re emerging with rapidly increasing frequency. The OECD, the international association for sharing solutions to common problems, is the curator of scientific guidelines for the testing of chemicals. It makes the point that resources should be made available to test the reproducibility and reliability of new methods developed by single labs so that, if they work, they can be applied more widely, and more quickly. Inherent to their thinking is a bias against animal use. 

We also need to make sure that politicians aren’t distracted by ideological sideshows or lured towards counterproductive policy directions, like deadlines that amount to deregulation of harmful industries. whose products are only harmful when metabolised in a whole body. There are concrete measures that governments, or prospective governments, could be proposing but politicians of all stripes need to understand where to apply funding and focus to have a positive impact on man, animals and the environment. 

https://www.understandinganimalresearch.org.uk/news/the-90-myth

 

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FDA Moves Forward With Its Guidance Framework for Rare Disease Trials: 2026

Reporter: Stephen J. Williams, Ph,D.

In 2025, the Trump Administration had determined it wants to streamline the FDA and clinical trials in order to expedite much needed drugs for various terminal diseases such as cancer and rare childhood diseases.  In 2026, under the guidance of the new FDA commissioner, Dr. Makary, the FDA initiated guidance for the proposed changes in February and available for comments at that time.  This has been a growing discussion aver the years and the FDA wanted, for many years, to figure out they could speed bringing new therapies to market, especially for terminally  ill patients. Given the progress of biomarkers development early in the drug discovery process and new computational technologies, the time seems to be ready for such changes in trial design and even for the long drug development process.  In addition the FDA up to this point was focused on other matters so it wasn’t really at the forefront of their to do list.

From: https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-launches-framework-accelerating-development-individualized-therapies-ultra-rare-diseases

FDA Launches Framework for Accelerating Development of Individualized Therapies for Ultra-Rare Diseases

For Immediate Release:

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration today issued draft guidance for sponsors seeking approval for targeted individualized therapies by generating substantial evidence of effectiveness and safety when randomized controlled trials are not feasible due to small patient populations.

The draft guidance, issued by the Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research and Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, specifically discusses genome editing and RNA-based therapies such as antisense oligonucleotides but leaves open the potential that this framework may apply to additional tailored therapeutics provided they directly address the underlying specific cause of the disease.

“President Trump promised to accelerate cures for American families — and we are delivering, especially for children with ultra-rare diseases who cannot afford to wait,” said Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. “We are cutting unnecessary red tape, aligning regulation with modern biology, and clearing a path for breakthrough treatments to reach the patients who need them most.”

“This guidance is a critical step the FDA is taking to tailor our regulatory approach to patients with ultra-rare conditions,” said FDA Commissioner Marty Makary, MD, MPH. “It is our priority to remove barriers and exercise regulatory flexibility to encourage scientific advances and deliver more cures and meaningful treatments for patients suffering from rare diseases.”

The draft guidance focuses on therapies that target a specific genetic, cellular or molecular abnormality and are designed to correct or modify the underlying cause of disease. Key criteria include:

  • Identifying the disease-causing abnormality.
  • Demonstrating the therapy targets the root cause or proximate biological pathway.
  • Relying on well-characterized natural history data in untreated patients.
  • Confirming successful target drugging or editing.
  • For traditional approval, therapies should demonstrate improvement in clinical outcomes, disease course, or biomarkers if they are established to predict clinical benefit.

“Designing treatments unique to individual patients has always been the promised goal of personalized medicine,” said Chief Medical and Scientific Officer and Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research Director Vinay Prasad, MD, MPH. “After 25 years the FDA has, for the first time, outlined a framework to facilitate these approvals. The Plausible Mechanism Framework is a revolutionary advance in regulatory science.”

“The Plausible Mechanism draft guidance creates a novel framework through which cutting-edge treatments tailor-made for patients with ultra-rare diseases can be used as a basis for FDA approval,” said Center for Drug Evaluation and Research Acting Director Tracy Beth Høeg, MD, Ph.D. “We anticipate our Plausible Mechanism draft guidance will inspire industry to place increased focus on individualized therapies, thereby driving innovation, improving safety, lowering costs and offering more patients with ultra-rare diseases a unique shot at a life-saving treatment.”

Because genome editing technologies are designed to be highly specific to unique DNA sequences, a product targeting different mutations in a single gene could be included in a single product application and potentially evaluated through the use of master protocols that evaluate these product variations in a single trial. A highly supported “plausible” mechanism of action may then be used to support the addition of other such genome editing product variants, intended to treat patients with mutations that were not included in the clinical trial used to support the original approval.

The FDA recognizes that an adequate and well-controlled clinical investigation in this context will include a small sample size, therefore, investigation results should be sufficiently robust to exclude chance findings. When determining effectiveness, the FDA considers the specific disease, the strength of the evidence and the challenges of conducting clinical investigations for individualized therapies.

 

In June of 2026, the FDA formalized their discussion into guidelines for discussion so it appears the following are not set into register of regulations as of yet.

From https://www.fda.gov/drugs/guidances-drugs/guidance-documents-rare-disease-drug-development

Guidance Documents for Rare Disease Drug Development

In general, FDA’s guidance documents do not establish legally enforceable responsibilities. Instead, guidances describe the agency’s current thinking on a topic and should be viewed only as recommendations, unless specific regulatory or statutory requirements are cited. The use of the word should in agency guidances means that something is suggested or recommended, but not required.

Below are selected guidances that are relevant to rare disease drug development, organized by topic. This list does not include all FDA guidances on or relevant to rare disease drug development but represents our most commonly used guidances. This list may be updated periodically.

I have kept the original text in order for reference and to provide the background for these changes “in their words”.

However there are a few themes in these guideline changes and discussions including:

  • definitions of rare diseases
  • reduction of complexities and simplification of trial design and requirements (the FDA wants to go to a more ONE trial with very well designed controls than the two trial design for INDs (I will discuss this further in a near future post)
  • accelerated approval which will entail streamlining both the submission and approval process for rare conditions
  • heavy reliance on biomarkers during drug development and clinical trials (which is already in frequent use in pharma)
  • early communication with the FDA
  • more reliance on plausible mechanism of action to reduce number of studies needed

Rare Disease

Considerations for the use of the Plausible Mechanism Framework to Develop Individualized Therapies that Target Specific Genetic Conditions with Known Biological Cause
The purpose of this guidance is to describe considerations for generating substantial evidence of effectiveness and evidence of safety for individualized therapies based on a plausible mechanism framework.

Rare Diseases: Considerations for the Development of Drugs and Biological Products
This guidance clarifies FDA’s thinking on important considerations in rare disease drug development to ultimately assist rare disease drug and biologic product developers in conducting successful drug development programs.

Rare Diseases: Natural History Studies for Drug Development: Draft Guidance for Industry
FDA is publishing this draft guidance to help inform the design and implementation of natural history studies that can be used to support the development of safe and effective drugs and biological products for rare diseases. A natural history study collects information about the natural history of a disease in the absence of an intervention, from the disease’s onset until either its resolution or the individual’s death. Although knowledge of a disease’s natural history can benefit drug development for many disorders and conditions, natural history information is usually not available or is incomplete for most rare diseases; therefore, natural history information is particularly needed for these diseases.

Rare Pediatric Disease Priority Review Vouchers
This guidance provides information on the implementation of section 908 of the Food and Drug Administration Safety and Innovation Act (FDASIA), which added section 529 to the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (the FD&C Act). Under section 529, FDA will award priority review vouchers to sponsors of certain rare pediatric disease product applications that meet the criteria specified in that section.

Rare Diseases: Early Drug Development and the Role of Pre-IND Meetings : Draft Guidance for Industry
The purpose of this draft guidance is to assist sponsors of drug and biological products for the treatment of rare diseases in planning and conducting more efficient and productive pre-investigational new drug application (pre-IND) meetings. Drug development for rare diseases has many challenges related to the nature of these diseases. This draft guidance is intended to advance and facilitate the development of drugs and biological products for the treatment of rare diseases.

Slowly Progressive, Low-Prevalence Rare Diseases with Substrate Deposition That Results from Single Enzyme Defects: Providing Evidence of Effectiveness for Replacement or Corrective Therapies : Guidance for Industry
This document provides guidance to sponsors on the evidence necessary to demonstrate the effectiveness of investigational new drugs or new drug uses intended for slowly progressive, low-prevalence rare diseases that are associated with substrate deposition and are caused by single enzyme defects. This guidance applies only to those low-prevalence rare diseases with well-characterized pathophysiology, and in which changes in substrate deposition can be readily measured in relevant tissue or tissues.

Pediatric Rare Diseases–A Collaborative Approach for Drug Development Using Gaucher Disease as a Model : Draft Guidance for Industry
The purpose of this guidance is to facilitate drug development in pediatric rare diseases. In particular, it discusses a new possible approach to enhance the efficiency of drug development in pediatric rare diseases using Gaucher disease as an example.

Inborn Errors of Metabolism That Use Dietary Management: Considerations for Optimizing and Standardizing Diet in Clinical Trials for Drug Product Development: Guidance for Industry
This guidance describes the Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA’s) current recommendations regarding how to optimize and standardize dietary management in clinical trials for the development of drugs that treat inborn errors of metabolism (IEM) for which dietary management is a key component of patients’ metabolic control. Optimizing dietary management in these patients before entry into and during clinical trials is essential to providing an accurate evaluation of the efficacy of new drug products.

Accelerated Approval

Accelerated Approval and Considerations for Determining Whether a Confirmatory Trial is Underway
For drugs granted accelerated approval, sponsors have been required to conduct confirmatory studies postapproval to verify and describe the anticipated effect on irreversible morbidity or mortality or other clinical benefit. In the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 (CAA), Congress amended section 506(c) of the FD&C Act (21 U.S.C. 356(c)), to provide additional authorities to help ensure timely completion of such trials, including that FDA “may require, as appropriate, a study or studies to be underway prior to approval, or within a specified time period after the date of approval, of the applicable product.” This draft guidance, when finalized, will describe FDA’s interpretation of the term “underway” and policies for implementing this requirement, including factors FDA intends to consider when determining whether a confirmatory trial is underway prior to an accelerated approval action.

Accelerated Approval – Expedited Program for Serious Conditions
Accelerated approval is one of FDA’s expedited programs intended to facilitate and expedite development and review of new drugs to address an unmet medical need in the treatment of a serious or life-threatening condition. The purpose of this guidance is to provide information on FDA’s policies and procedures for accelerated approval as well as threshold criteria generally applicable to concluding that a drug is a candidate for accelerated approval. This guidance also describes the procedures for expedited withdrawal of approval of a product approved under accelerated approval and the revisions Congress made through the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2023 (Public Law 117-328). Additional programs to expedite product development and review are covered in other guidances.

Benefit-Risk

Benefit-Risk Assessment for New Drug and Biological Products
The intent of this guidance is to clarify for drug sponsors and other stakeholders how considerations about a drug’s benefits, risks, and risk management options factor into certain premarket and postmarket regulatory decisions that the Food and Drug Administration (FDA or Agency) makes about new drug applications (NDAs) submitted under section 505(c) of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act) as well as biologics license applications (BLAs) submitted under section 351(a) of the Public Health Service Act (PHS Act).

Biomarkers

For general information on Biomarkers, please see About Biomarkers and Qualification

Biomarker Qualification: Evidentiary Framework
This draft guidance provides recommendations on general considerations to address when developing a biomarker for qualification under the 21st Century Cures Act (Cures Act), enacted on December 13, 2016, that added a new section to the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act). Qualification of a biomarker is a determination that within the stated context of use, the biomarker can be relied on to have a specific interpretation and application in drug development and regulatory review.

Qualification Process for Drug Development Tools
This guidance describes the qualification process for drug development tools (DDTs) intended for potential use, over time, in multiple drug development programs.

Clinical Outcome Assessments (COAs) and Endpoints

For information on the COA Qualification Program, please see Clinical Outcome Assessment (COA) Qualification Program

Patient-Focused Drug Development: Selecting, Developing, or Modifying Fit-for-Purpose Clinical Outcome Assessments
This guidance (Guidance 3) is the third in a series of four methodological patient-focused drug development (PFDD) guidance documents that describe how stakeholders (patients, caregivers, researchers, medical product developers, and others) can collect and submit patient experience data and other relevant information from patients and caregivers to be used for medical product development and regulatory decision-making.

Patient-Focused Drug Development: Incorporating Clinical Outcome Assessments Into Endpoints for Regulatory Decision-Making
This guidance (Guidance 4) is the fourth in a series of four methodological patient-focused drug development (PFDD) guidance documents that describe how stakeholders (patients, caregivers, researchers, medical product developers, and others) can collect and submit patient experience data and other relevant information from patients and caregivers to be used for medical product development and regulatory decision-making.

Multiple Endpoints in Clinical Trials Guidance for Industry
This guidance provides sponsors and review staff with the Agency’s thinking about the problems posed by multiple endpoints in the analysis and interpretation of study results and how these problems can be managed in clinical trials for human drugs, including drugs subject to licensing as biological products.

Clinical Pharmacology

Exposure-Response Relationships — Study Design, Data Analysis, and Regulatory Applications 
This document provides recommendations for sponsors of investigational new drugs (INDs) and applicants submitting new drug applications (NDAs) or biologics license applications (BLAs) on the use of exposure-response information in the development of drugs, including therapeutic biologics. It can be considered along with the International Conference on Harmonisation (ICH) E4 guidance on Dose-Response Information to Support Drug Registration and other pertinent guidances (see Appendix A).

Bioavailability Studies Submitted in NDAs or INDs – General Considerations
This guidance provides recommendations to sponsors and applicants submitting bioavailability (BA) information for drug products in investigational new drug applications (INDs), new drug applications (NDAs), and NDA supplements. This guidance contains recommendations on how to meet the BA requirements set forth in 21 CFR part 320 as they apply to dosage forms intended for oral administration.

General Clinical Pharmacology Considerations for Pediatric Studies of Drugs, Including Biological Products
This guidance assists sponsors of investigational new drug applications (INDs) and applicants of new drug applications (NDAs) under section 505 of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (the FD&C Act), biologics license applications (BLAs) under section 351(a) of the Public Health Service Act (PHS Act), and supplements to such applications who are planning to conduct clinical studies in pediatric populations.

General Clinical Pharmacology Considerations for Neonatal Studies for Drugs and Biological Products Guidance for Industry
This guidance is intended to assist sponsors of investigational new drug applications (INDs) and applicants of new drug applications (NDAs), biologics license applications (BLAs), and supplements to such applications who are planning to conduct clinical studies in neonatal populations. This guidance provides recommendations for neonatal clinical pharmacology studies, whether the studies are conducted pursuant to section 505A of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act), section 505B of the FD&C Act, or neither.

Assessing the Effects of Food on Drugs in INDs and NDAs – Clinical Pharmacology Considerations
This guidance provides recommendations to sponsors planning to conduct food-effect (FE) studies for orally administered drug products under investigational new drug applications (INDs) to support new drug applications (NDAs) and supplements to these applications for drugs being developed under section 505 of the Federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act (21 U.S.C. 355).

Population Pharmacokinetics
This guidance is intended to assist sponsors and applicants of new drug applications (NDAs), biologics license applications (BLAs), abbreviated new drug applications (ANDAs), and investigational new drugs (IND) applications in the application of population pharmacokinetic (PK) analysis.

Clinical Pharmacology Considerations for Antibody-Drug Conjugates Guidance for Industry
This guidance provides recommendations to assist industry and other parties involved in the development of antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs) with a cytotoxic small molecule drug or payload. Specifically, this guidance addresses the FDA’s current thinking regarding clinical pharmacology considerations and recommendations for ADC development programs, including bioanalytical methods, dosing strategies, dose- and exposure-response analysis, intrinsic factors, QTc assessments, immunogenicity, and drug-drug interactions (DDIs).

Drug-Drug Interaction Assessment for Therapeutic Proteins Guidance for Industry
The purpose of this guidance is to help sponsors of investigational new drug applications (INDs) and applicants of biologic license applications (BLAs) determine the need for drug-drug interaction (DDI) studies for a therapeutic protein (TP) by providing a systematic, risk-based approach.

Developing Targeted Therapies in Low-Frequency Molecular Subsets of a Disease
The pharmacological effect of a targeted therapy is often related to a particular molecular alteration, and many diseases are caused by a range of different molecular alterations (some of which may be rare). Therefore, a targeted therapy may have differential effects among patients with the same disease who have different molecular alterations. The purpose of this guidance is to describe general approaches to evaluating the benefits and risks of targeted therapeutics within a clinically defined disease where some molecular alterations may occur at low frequencies.

Clinical Pharmacogenomics: Premarket Evaluation in Early-Phase Clinical Studies and Recommendations for Labeling
This guidance is intended to assist the pharmaceutical industry and other investigators engaged in new drug development in evaluating how variations in the human genome, specifically DNA sequence variants, could affect a drug’s pharmacokinetics (PK), pharmacodynamics (PD), efficacy, or safety. The guidance provides recommendations on when and how genomic information should be considered to address questions arising during drug development and regulatory review.

Clinical Trials

All clinical trials guidances are listed here.

Enhancing Participation in Clinical Trials — Eligibility Criteria, Enrollment Practices, and Trial Designs
This guidance recommends approaches that sponsors of clinical trials intended to support a new drug application or a biologics license application can take to increase enrollment of a representative population in their clinical trials. This guidance considers both demographic characteristics of study populations (e.g., sex, race, ethnicity, age, location of residency) and non-demographic characteristics of populations (e.g., patients with organ dysfunction, comorbid conditions, disabilities, those at the extremes of the weight range, and populations with diseases or conditions with low prevalence). Enrolling participants with a wide range of baseline characteristics may create a study population that more accurately reflects the patients likely to take the drug if it is approved and allow assessment of the impact of those characteristics on the safety and effectiveness of the study drug.

E8(R1) General Considerations for Clinical Studies
This guidance describes internationally accepted principles and practices in the design and conduct of clinical studies of drug and biological products. The guidance is intended to assist sponsors and other parties that design clinical studies, and to promote the quality of the studies submitted to regulatory authorities, while allowing for flexibility.

Multiple Endpoints in Clinical Trials Guidance for Industry
The purpose of this guidance is to describe various strategies for grouping and ordering endpoints for analysis and applying some well-recognized statistical methods for managing multiplicity within a study in order to control the chance of making erroneous conclusions about a drug’s effects. Basing a conclusion on an analysis where the risk of false conclusions has not been appropriately controlled can lead to false or misleading representations regarding a drug’s effects.

E17 General Principles for Planning and Design of Multi-Regional Clinical Trial
With the increasing globalization of drug development, it has become important that data from multiregional clinical trials (MRCTs) can be accepted by regulatory authorities across regions and countries as the primary source of evidence to support marketing approval of drugs (medicinal products). The purpose of this guidance is to describe general principles for the planning and design of MRCTs with the aim of increasing the acceptability of MRCTs in global regulatory submissions.

Decentralized Clinical Trials for Drugs, Biological Products, and Devices
This draft guidance provides recommendations for sponsors, investigators, and other stakeholders regarding the implementation of decentralized clinical trials (DCTs) for drugs, biological products, and devices. In this guidance, a DCT refers to a clinical trial where some or all of the trial-related activities occur at locations other than traditional clinical trial sites.

Enrichment Strategies for Clinical Trials to Support Approval of Human Drugs and Biological Products: Guidance for Industry
The purpose of this guidance is to assist industry in developing enrichment strategies that can be used in clinical investigations intended to demonstrate effectiveness (and in some cases safety) of human drugs and biological products. This guidance defines several types of enrichment strategies, provides examples of potential clinical trial designs, and discusses potential regulatory considerations when using enrichment strategies in clinical trials.

Ethical Considerations for Clinical Investigations of Medical Products Involving Children
Clinical investigations in children are essential for obtaining data on the safety and effectiveness of drugs, biological products, and medical devices in children and to protect children from the risks associated with exposure to medical products that may be unsafe or ineffective. Children are a vulnerable population who cannot consent for themselves and who therefore are afforded additional safeguards when participating in a clinical investigation. Such safeguards are an essential requirement for the initiation and conduct of pediatric investigations as part of a medical product development program.

Master Protocols for Drug and Biological Product Development
This guidance document provides recommendations on the design and analysis of trials conducted under a master protocol as well as guidance on the submission of documentation to support regulatory review.

There are some other Guidances which were issued and I will discuss them in another post.  These include Guidances on minimizing use of animals for preclinical toxicology, Innovative clinical trial design especially for gene and cell therapies, and use of AI in designing of clinical trials.

For more information go to the FDA website at : https://www.fda.gov/drugs/guidances-drugs/guidance-documents-rare-disease-drug-development

Other Articles on FDA Guidances on this Open Access Scientific Journal Include:

FDA Guidance on Use of Xenotransplanted Products in Human: Implications in 3D Printing

FDA Guidance Documents Update Nov. 2015 on Devices, Animal Studies, Gene Therapy, Liposomes

FDA Cellular & Gene Therapy Guidances: Implications for CRSPR/Cas9 Trials 

New FDA Draft Guidance On Homologous Use of Human Cells, Tissues, and Cellular and Tissue-Based Products – Implications for 3D BioPrinting of Regenerative Tissue

FDA Guidelines For Developmental and Reproductive Toxicology (DART) Studies for Small Molecules

 

Read Full Post »

Companies Actively Engaging Artificial Intellegence for Drug Design: 2026

Curator: Stephen J. Williams, Ph.D.

Work-in-Progress

This is not an exhaustive list of all AI companies involved in the drug discovery process.  Some like Chai Discovery will be featured in separate posts and this will be constantly updated as companies are acquired and formed. 

UPDATED 8/31/2026

First Bankruptcy Casualty for AI-Drug Discovery Firm: BioXcel Files for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy and sells Alzheimers Pipeline to Teva Pharmaceuticals

Aug 27 (Reuters) – AI-driven biopharma firm BioXcel Therapeutics filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. on Thursday.

Here are more details:

• BioXcel listed estimated liabilities in the range of $100 million to $500 million and assets of $10 million to $50 million in its petition filed with U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware.

• The filing comes after BioXcel entered into an amended credit agreement on Monday, under which creditors would provide an additional $1.25 million in loans to the company.

• BioXcel Therapeutics reported a quarterly adjusted loss of 49 cents​​ per share for the three months ended June 30.

• The firm, whose shares have fallen about 55% so far this year, said in May it was exploring strategic options including a sale, merger or licensing agreement of its assets, but did not provide a timeline.

• BioXcel is focused on developing neurological medication. Its experimental drug BXCL501 is marketed as an acute treatment for agitation associated with Alzheimer’s dementia.

(Reporting by Anusha Shah in Bengaluru; Editing by Eileen Soreng)

Source: https://srnnews.com/biopharma-firm-bioxcel-therapeutics-files-for-bankruptcy-in-us/ 

About BioXcel: Source https://www.bioxceltherapeutics.com/ai-based-drug-re-innovation/

The traditional paradigm in the pharmaceutical industry of selecting new chemical entities that are put through lead identification and selection in drug discovery and development is marred by decade-long timelines, high costs that increase every year, and low success rates. Consequently, many diseases and medical conditions remain without treatments. Yet, an underutilized and expansive universe of potential drug candidates exists that consists of approved products that could be effective for additional indications as well as compounds that have already demonstrated safety in prior clinical trials but may have been discontinued by their original developers for various reasons.

BioXcel Therapeutics is focused on AI-based drug re-innovation in neuroscience. We expedite the discovery and development of new indications for existing late-stage drug candidates and/or approved drugs by leveraging NovareAI: a composite of AI tools and approaches. NovareAI enables us to reduce therapeutic development costs, potentially accelerate timelines, while improving the success rate of bringing new treatment options to patients.

Original Article Starts Here

I want to start with a Great interview and white paper by McKinsey where they interview key opinion leaders on the business intelligence on AI firms in the drug discovery world and what to look for in companies that are in this space.

Source: https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/life-sciences/our-insights/how-ai-could-revolutionize-drug-discovery

How AI could revolutionize drug discovery
 | Video
Watch VIDEO

Below is a Mckinsey report on How AI will Change the Future of Biotech

https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/the-next-normal/biotech

CHARTING THE FUTURE

AI will be embedded into everyday research

The AI-driven drug discovery industry continues to grow, fueled by new entrants in the market, significant capital investment, and technology maturation. We’ve identified more than 250 companies working in the industry. More than half of them are based in the United States, but key hubs are emerging in Western Europe and Southeast Asia as well. The best of these companies will fully integrate AI into research workflows, as the exhibit shows. By putting AI at the center of the research engine, companies can transform research at scale—and bring about dramatic improvements in patient outcomes. For the full article, see:

Parts of a high-throughput screening (HTS) process embedded with AI technology

1. High-throughput screen commenced with diverse compound sets Scientist selects diverse compound sets (a set of chemical compounds with a wide range of chemical structures) as first high-throughput screen

  • In silico/ on-the-chip simulations
  • In-vitro/ ‘wet lab’ experiments

2. Automated compound selection and transfer Using HTS machinery, individual compounds are transferred to individual wells of cells under experimental conditions

3. Computer-vision-based hit selection Cell response to each compound is measured using microscope analysis (eg, through computer vision techniques); promising compounds are labeled “hits”

4. Automated machine learning (ML) model training from screen outcomes Information from HTS for first few plates is automatically transferred into an ML pipeline, which “learns” how cells respond to each kind of chemical structure

5. Compound library inferencing and prioritization ML algorithm then scans the remainder of the library compounds and predicts which plates should be prioritized to identify the highest number of hits in the next screen

6. Automated compound selection based on ML recommendations ML recommendations are automatically queued and used in the next round of HTS. The cycle continues, with the algorithm continuously learningfrom “real world” outputs. Recommendations trigger scientists to explore new chemical space and begin downstream screening processes more quickly. These recommendations feed into the selection of chemical compounds in step 1

DOWNLOADS

Human bodies are incredibly complex. It takes many years to discover even just one new medicine to successfully treat a disease. Could artificial intelligence help speed up that process? McKinsey experts believe so. (The following transcript has been edited for clarity.)

Faster and better

 

How relevant and useful is this article for you?

Lydia The: What excites me about AI and drug discovery is the convergence between technology, drug development, and biology, which is going to lead to better drugs being developed faster—using all of the capabilities that Silicon Valley and the tech ecosystem have developed—to help us have even greater impact on patients.

Christoph Sandler: Today, to discover and develop a drug takes more than ten years.

Alex Devereson: We might be able to have drugs in one-tenth of the time, from being discovered to being able to treat patients. Today, many diseases simply have no treatments whatsoever. I think, and I hope, we’re going to see a world where we can generate therapies that can treat those patients very effectively. Fundamentally, we will have life-changing, game-changing drugs—on a scale and at a pace that we’ve never seen before—getting to the right patient at the right time.

The promise of personalized medicine

Christoph Sandler: In the not-so-distant future, we might collect health data across different inputs: from wearables, from our electronic medical records, or from clinical or academic research. And we will have the opportunity, on a voluntary basis, to upload these data into a central, secure, trusted data storage system.

Lydia The: You could imagine using the data to figure out not just what drug might work for you but exactly what drug would work for you at what time, in what sequence, in what dose—really personalized to you.

Will AI replace scientists?

Lydia The: What we’ve found is that technology doesn’t supplant the people. Rather, it will enable scientists to do things faster and better—and potentially develop insights that humans would not be able to develop at all.

Alex Devereson: Scientists will be able to discover things with machine learning that they could never have thought of by themselves, generate entirely new ideas, and move at a pace at which one person can do what it would have taken 100 to do before.

Lydia The: While in previous generations, scientists would spend a lot of their time—maybe even the majority of their time—on manual efforts such as pipetting from one tray to another tray or manually curating and cleaning data, I think AI will help us do all of those things in a more automated and quick way, and develop hypotheses that can then lead a scientist to think through, “What would the next experiment be? What are the implications of the data?”

What companies should do today

Alex Devereson: I think the challenge a lot of companies have is that they want to explore new ideas but, for good reason, they are reluctant to commit until they’ve seen some results and some tangible impact. So they explore a lot of pilots.

Lydia The: We have a term for that. We call it “pilot purgatory”: companies focus on one pilot, and they see the returns in a single pilot, but they don’t establish that approach and way of operating across their organization.

Define a ‘North Star’

Lydia The: One of the most important things for companies to escape pilot purgatory is a real mindset shift, from the top end all the way through the rest of the organization.

Christoph Sandler: It is important for the organization to define what a North Star for them should be, so that the data and analytics transformation of the R&D function can be targeted toward that North Star.

Identify—and solve—the biggest pain points

Alex Devereson: Truly understand what your biggest scientific and operational pain points are. For the lab scientists, for the patients who are in your clinical trials, for the patients who might get the drug: What is the biggest unsolved problem today?

Embed analytics into decision making

Christoph Sandler: Bring the organization on board and help them understand the potential of data and analytics.

Alex Devereson: You need to really, truly redesign a process that embeds analytics, where it’s not something on the side; it’s truly a part of the decision making.

Christoph Sandler: And you need to establish trust in the data and in these models. Equally important as the technical part is the human part.

Deliver value quickly

Alex Devereson: Don’t set up a project that delivers only after five years. Have a view on how you can deliver value in three months—and on what it takes in terms of analytics, data, and technology—with a relentless laser focus on value for the patient and for the scientific process.

 

 

Source: https://www.statnews.com/2026/06/03/alnylam-partner-with-inceptive-nucleics-ai-foundation-models/?utm_campaign=the_readout&utm_medium=email&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_DOWjLTkMjWQ-ewilam07aNlz79w35ktjIKopXav_x3PpkOIfQIqnnMJlxdznIvjv-lGeo3tI4BUwIuxqEclEu4fHA9Q&_hsmi=422199873&utm_content=422199873&utm_source=hs_email

Biotech Correspondent

The inventor of some of AI’s technical underpinnings is shifting focus to an RNA startup. Also, Rick Pazdur has some ideas on how to determine whether Revolution Medicines’ pancreatic cancer drug can work in a first-line setting. And an oncologist explains why she believes the failed Grail trial matters.

artificial intelligence

The AI architect taking aim at RNAi

Jakob Uszkoreit helped create the transformer architecture — the “T” in ChatGPT — that sparked the generative AI boom. Now he’s trying to do something just as ambitious in drug development, STAT’s Brittany Trang writes. His startup, Inceptive Nucleics, is building biological foundation models that can be applied across a wide range of sequence-based medicines, from RNA interference therapies to mRNA and antisense drugs.

That vision caught the attention of Alnylam, which yesterday announced that it had struck a three-year partnership worth up to $2 billion in potential milestone payments and royalties, along with a $30 million upfront investment. The idea is that AI could perhaps do more than analyze biological data — and instead design the molecules themselves.

 

Top 10 Leading AI Drug Discovery Companies Transforming the Market: Trends, Technologies, Growth Outlook & Competitive Landscape (2026-2034)

MARKET OVERVIEW:

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is redefining the future of pharmaceutical research, making drug development faster, smarter, and more cost-effective than ever before. What once took more than a decade and billions of dollars can now be significantly accelerated through advanced machine learning algorithms, generative AI, predictive analytics, and computational biology.

AI Drug Discovery Market is projected to grow from USD 3.41 billion in 2026 to USD 10.45 billion by 2034, registering a robust 15.7% CAGR. This remarkable expansion reflects the pharmaceutical industry’s increasing reliance on AI-powered platforms to improve research efficiency, reduce clinical failures, and identify breakthrough therapies for complex diseases.

As healthcare systems worldwide demand faster innovation and precision medicine continues to evolve, AI is becoming an essential component of modern drug discovery rather than an experimental technology.

Key Technologies Powering AI Drug Discovery

The industry’s rapid growth is supported by several advanced technologies that work together throughout the drug development pipeline.

Machine Learning helps identify disease targets, recognize biological patterns, and predict therapeutic outcomes using historical datasets.

Deep Learning improves molecular analysis by recognizing highly complex biological relationships that conventional computational methods may overlook.

Generative AI creates entirely new molecular structures designed for specific therapeutic applications, enabling scientists to explore millions of virtual compounds before physical synthesis.

Predictive Modeling estimates toxicity, efficacy, pharmacokinetics, and safety profiles early in development, reducing unnecessary experimentation.

Molecular Docking Simulations evaluate how drug molecules interact with proteins, helping researchers prioritize candidates with the highest therapeutic potential.

AI-Driven Clinical Trial Optimization assists pharmaceutical companies in selecting suitable patient populations, improving trial design, and increasing the probability of successful outcomes.

Top 10 Leading AI Drug Discovery Companies Driving Innovation

The competitive landscape is rapidly evolving, with established technology providers and specialized biotechnology companies competing to develop next-generation AI platforms.

1. Insilico Medicine

Insilico Medicine has become one of the industry’s most recognized innovators through its end-to-end AI drug discovery platform. The company combines generative AI with biological research to accelerate target identification and therapeutic development.

2. Exscientia

Exscientia focuses on AI-designed precision medicines and has established multiple collaborations with leading pharmaceutical organizations to improve drug candidate selection and optimization. Exscientia is a pioneering artificial intelligence-driven pharmatech company that was acquired by Recursion Pharmaceuticals in November 2024

3. Atomwise

Known for its deep learning platform, Atomwise uses artificial intelligence to identify promising small-molecule therapies across oncology, infectious diseases, and rare disorders.

4. Recursion Pharmaceuticals

Recursion Pharmaceuticals integrates high-content imaging, automation, and AI to analyze millions of biological experiments, enabling large-scale phenotypic drug discovery.

5. BERG

BERG (now operating or known as BPGbio) specializes in biology-driven AI by combining multi-omics datasets with artificial intelligence to identify biomarkers and novel therapeutic opportunities.

6. Cyclica

Cyclica’s AI platform focuses on polypharmacology, helping researchers understand complex drug-protein interactions while improving drug design efficiency. , focusing on MatchMaker and POEM technology platforms before being acquired by Recursion for $40 million in May 2023.

7. GNS Healthcare

GNS Healthcare applies causal AI and patient-level analytics to support personalized medicine and identify drug repurposing opportunities.

8. DeepCure

DeepCure develops generative chemistry platforms capable of designing optimized molecules while reducing early-stage research complexity.

9. Schrödinger

Schrödinger combines computational chemistry, molecular simulation, and AI technologies to improve molecular modeling and accelerate pharmaceutical innovation.

10. IBM Watson Health & DeepMind Health

These technology pioneers continue expanding AI capabilities across healthcare by leveraging advanced analytics, large-scale biological data processing, and intelligent research platforms that support drug development initiatives. https://www.ibm.com/products/watsonx

There are many other companies that are using AI in Innovative ways to support drug discovery.  Here is another list from

 

11 Innovative Companies Using AI for Drug Discovery

Published December 15, 2025

Overview

A look at 11 companies using AI-driven platforms to reshape drug discovery, including generative models, computational chemistry, and data-centric biology.

 

For more articles on AI and healthcare on this Open Access Scientific Journals please see our Portals at

Medicine with GPT-4 & Chat GPT

AGI, generativeAI, Grok, DeepSeek & Expert Models in Healthcare

Artificial Intelligence: Genomics & Cancer

Read Full Post »

AI-Native Drug Discovery Landscape 2026 – How LPBI Group Differentiates in the New Era of Foundation Models

Curators: Aviva Lev-Ari, PhD, RN with Grok Assistence

As the race to build powerful biology foundation models intensifies, several well-funded AI-native companies have emerged with ambitious platforms for protein design, small-molecule generation, and multimodal drug discovery. While these companies bring strong technical capabilities, LPBI Group occupies a distinct and complementary position in the ecosystem.

Key AI-Native Players (2026)

 

Competitive Landscape Table for AI-Native in Drug Discovery

Company Focus Stage LPBI Differentiation
Isomorphic Labs (DeepMind) Protein/small molecule design using AI Advanced (AlphaFold3 based) LPBI offers curated multimodal training data + COM methodology (they need high-quality data to train/validate)
EvolutionaryScale Protein design (ESM models) Early commercial LPBI’s strength is in clinical/therapeutic context + mechanism-of-action curation across full disease spectrum
Chai Discovery Multimodal AI for drug discovery Early LPBI provides the upstream high-provenance corpus + ontology they would need for better results
Recursion Pharma Phenotypic screening + AI Clinical stage LPBI’s expert-curated literature + images + COM complements their wet-lab focus
Insilico Medicine Generative AI for drug design Clinical stage LPBI’s causal reasoning framework + AJAUS offers continuous refresh they lack
AlignedHQ.ai Generative AI for protein design & therapeutic optimization Early-stage LPBI supplies the high-provenance, expert-curated multimodal corpus and COM Tool Factory that significantly enhances model accuracy and reduces failure rates in downstream development

How LPBI Group Differentiates

LPBI Group does not compete directly in building foundation models. Instead, we provide the critical upstream layer these companies and hyperscalers urgently need:

  • A 9 GB private multimodal corpus of expert-curated scientific content (6,290+ articles, 48 e-Books, 7,500+ images, 300+ podcasts)
  • The 17-part Composition of Methods (COM) Tool Factory, including AJAUS (autonomous 24/7 refresh) and Rosetta Stone Ontology (causal mapping)
  • 15 Subject Matter Small Language Models (SLMs) ready for concatenation into proprietary LLMs and MFMH
  • Proven track record of 4–5×+ uplift in novel causal relationship extraction when combined with frontier models

Strategic Positioning

While AI-native startups excel at model architecture and computation, they still face the persistent bottleneck of high-quality, causally structured, provenance-rich training data. LPBI Group’s vertically integrated assets and methodology offer a defensible moat and a true “own-both” advantage when partnered with hyperscalers or pharma companies.

This complementary role positions LPBI Group as the ideal upstream partner for the next generation of domain-aware AI in Health.

AlignedHQ.ai as Partner vs. Insilico Medicine

AlignedHQ.ai is a strong potential partner.

Why?

  • They are AI-native focused on protein design and generative models — directly complementary to LPBI’s strengths in curated biomedical literature, mechanism-of-action, and multimodal data.
  • They would benefit enormously from access to LPBI’s high-quality training data and COM methodology.
  • Partnership model: They use LPBI data (licensed) + Grok 5 / SpaceXAI compute and frontier models → Co-develop specific therapeutic pipelines.

Insilico Medicine is also a good candidate but slightly less ideal than AlignedHQ for early partnership because:

  • Insilico is more advanced clinically (has candidates in trials) and may want more control.
  • AlignedHQ appears earlier-stage and more open to collaboration.

Recommendation: Start with AlignedHQ.ai as a proof-of-concept partner (easier entry, high complementarity). Use success there to approach Insilico and others from a position of strength.

Where does AlignedHQ.ai’s Domain Knowledge in Medicine Come From?

From public information:

  • Primarily from public + licensed datasets (PDB, UniProt, scientific literature, clinical trial data, etc.).
  • They rely heavily on large-scale public biomedical databases and pre-trained models (e.g., AlphaFold derivatives).
  • Like most AI-native drug discovery companies, they have limited proprietary clinical/therapeutic context compared to LPBI’s expert-curated, mechanism-rich corpus.
  • Their domain knowledge is model-derived rather than expert-curated at source.

This is LPBI’s Core Delta: AlignedHQ (and similar companies) excel at model architecture and generation but lack the deep, traceable, expert-validated biomedical knowledge that LPBI has built over 14+ years. This is why access to LPBI’s portfolio would be highly valuable to them.

Grok, 7/19/2026

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In Memoriam: In Remembrance of Cancer Researchers who passed in 2026

Reporter: Stephen J. Williams, Ph.D.

Source: https://www.aacr.org/professionals/membership/in-memoriam/

The following remembrances of American Association of Cancer Research (AACR) prominent member who have recently passed in 2026 is given below.  Each have contributed seminal research and discovery in the field of cancer biology and cancer risk.  In many cases, their discoveries transformed the way  we understand and treat cancer.  A separate In Memoriam for Nobel Leaureatte Dr. J. Michael Bishop will be given in a separate post.

Joseph F. Fraumeni, Jr., MD, FAACR (04/01/1933 – 06/22/2026)

Headshot of Joseph Fraumeni

Joseph F. Fraumeni, Jr., MD, FAACR, a renowned cancer epidemiologist, a Fellow of the AACR Academy, and a former member of the AACR Board of Directors, died June 22, 2026, at the age of 93. A career researcher and leader at the National Cancer Institute, Fraumeni was a co-discoverer of the genetic condition now known as the Li-Fraumeni syndrome and launched the U.S. Atlas of Cancer Mortality, which mapped geographic variations in cancer.Born April 1, 1933, in Boston, Fraumeni earned a bachelor’s degree from Harvard College, a medical degree from Duke University School of Medicine, and a master of science in epidemiology from the Harvard University School of Public Health. He completed medical residencies at Johns Hopkins Hospital and the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center. A member of the AACR since 1968, Fraumeni served on the AACR’s Board of Directors from 1983 to 1986. He also served the AACR as an assistant editor, senior editor, and editorial board member for Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention and an assistant editor for Cancer Research. The AACR recognized him with the AACR-American Cancer Society Award for Research Excellence in Epidemiology and Prevention in 1993 and the AACR Award for Lifetime Achievement in Cancer Research in 2009. He was inducted as a member of the inaugural class of Fellows of the AACR Academy in 2013. Fraumeni was a fellow of the American College of Physicians, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and a member of the Institute of Medicine, the Association of American Physicians, and the National Academy of Sciences.

In 1962, Fraumeni joined the Epidemiology Branch of the National Cancer Institute (NCI) as a commissioned officer in the U.S. Public Health Service (USPHS). He went on to hold several leadership positions at the NCI, including posts as head of the Ecology Studies Section, chief of the Environmental Epidemiology Branch, director of the Epidemiology and Biostatistics Program, and founding director of the Division of Cancer Epidemiology and GeneticsHe retired from the USPHS in 1999 with the rank of rear admiral and assistant surgeon general. When he retired from NCI in 2017, he was named Scientist Emeritus. He authored or co-authored more than 900 scientific publications.

His research focused the epidemiology of high cancer risk populations and, in 1969, led him to discover a familial syndrome of early-onset cancers of the breast, brain, and other malignancies known as Li-Fraumeni Syndrome.  Li-Fraumeni Sydrome is characterized by inherited mutations in the p53 tumor suppressor gene.

Li-Fraumeni Syndrome

from Cleveland Clinic: Li-Fraumeni syndrome is a rare genetic disorder that increases the risk you and your family members will develop cancer. Everyone with this condition has a 90% chance of developing one or more types of cancer by age 60. About half develop cancer before they turn 40. Females with Li-Fraumeni syndrome almost always develop breast cancer.

Below is the original reference published with his colleague the late Dr, Federick Li.  Thier work together over the years helped develop the discovery of cancer susceptiblitiy genes and the importance of mutations of these genes linked to increased risk of developing cancer.

Li FP, Fraumeni JF Jr. 1969. Soft-tissue sarcomas, breast cancer, and other neoplasms. A familial syndrome? Ann Intern Med 71: 747–752.

Four families were identified in which a pair of children had soft-tissue sarcomas: three sets of sibs and one set of cousins. One parent of each affected child developed cancer; carcinoma of the breast occurred in three mothers under 30 years of age. Other young adults in these families had a high frequency of cancer, with no evidence of underlying genetic disorders known to carry a high risk of neoplasia. The increased familial susceptibility to cancer was manifested not only by the large number of members affected but by a seeming excess of multiple primary neoplasms.

It wasn’t until the 1990’s that Malkin et al. that germline mutations in TP53 were associated with this disease

Malkin D, Li FP, Strong LC, Fraumeni JF Jr, Nelson CE, Kim DH, Kassel J, Gryka MA, Bischoff FZ, Tainsky MA, et al. 1990. Germ line p53 mutations in a familial syndrome of breast cancer, sarcomas, and other neoplasms. Science 250: 1233–1238.

A similar syndrome named Lynch syndrome also  gave rise to early increased risk of multiple cancers but due to germline mutations in mismatch repair genes like MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, or PMS2.

Lynch HT, Mulcahy GM, Harris RE, Guirgis HA, Lynch JF. 1978. Genetic and pathologic findings in a kindred with hereditary sarcoma, breast cancer, brain tumors, leukemia, lung, laryngeal, and adrenal cortical carcinoma. Cancer 41: 2055–2064.

 

Pierre Chambon, MD, FAACR, (02/07/1931 – 05/05/2026)
Pierre Chambon

Pierre Chambon, MD, FAACR, a Fellow of the AACR Academy who was a pioneer in the structure and expression of genes, died May 5, 2026, at the age of 95. Chambon’s early work contributed to the discovery of PolyADPribose, the discovery of multiple RNA polymerases, major contributions to the elucidation of chromatin structure, and the discovery of animal split genes. Later work included the discovery of multiple promoter elements and their cognate factors. His research on nuclear receptors has had a marked influence on the understanding of signal transduction and endocrinology in vertebrates.

Born February 7, 1931, in Mulhouse, France, Chambon received his medical degree from the University of Strasbourg in 1958. He joined the university as a research associate, becoming an associate professor in 1962 and professor of biochemistry in 1968. He founded the Institute for Genetics and Cellular and Molecular Biology in 1994 and served as its director until 2002. He then founded the Mouse Clinical Institute and served as director until 2006. He held the chair of molecular genetics at the Collège de France from 1993 to 2003 and served as chair of molecular genetics and biology at the University of Strasbourg Institute for Advanced Study from 2012 to 2021. Chambon was elected to the French Academy of Sciences in1985, the same year in which he was elected a foreign member of both the U.S. National Academy of Sciences and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.

Juliet M. Daniel, PhD

Juliet M. Daniel, PhD, a cell biologist who was a distinguished university professor at McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario, and member of AACR since 2002, died April 28, 2026. She was 61 years of age. Noted for her work on genetic risk factors for breast cancer, Daniel discovered and gave the name “Kaiso” to a gene associated with triple negative breast cancer in women of African descent. Born in Barbados in 1964, Daniel obtained a bachelor’s degree in life sciences from Queen’s University in Kingston, Ontario, in 1987 and a doctorate in microbiology from University of British Columbia in Vancouver in 1993. She conducted postdoctoral research at St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital in Memphis and Vanderbilt University in Nashville. She joined McMaster as an assistant professor in 1999, the first black woman to become a member of the Faculty of Science. She was promoted to associate professor in 2005 and professor in 2012. Daniel was appointed associate dean of research and external relations for the Faculty of Science on an acting basis in 2020 and permanently in 2021. She was named strategic advisor to the university president for the Canada-Caribbean Institute (CCI) at McMaster in 2024. She was named a distinguished university professor, the highest faculty honor, in 2025. Among many other honors, she was elected a fellow of the Canadian Academy of Health Sciences in 2025, received the inaugural Canadian Cancer Society Inclusive Excellence Prize in Cancer Research in 2020, and was awarded an honorary doctorate in science by the University of the West Indies in 2021.

Philip S. Low, PhD

Philip S. Low, PhD, the Ralph C. Corley distinguished professor of chemistry at Purdue University, an inventor and entrepreneur with more than 100 patents to his credit, and an emeritus member of AACR, died March 4, 2026, at the age of 78. He also served as Purdue’s Presidential Scholar for Drug Discovery and was for a time as director of the university’s Center for Drug Discovery. Low held more than 100 U.S.-issued patents through Purdue Innovates and is listed on 600 U.S. and international patents and 145 invention disclosures. He founded seven companies based on based on work conducted at Purdue, one of which, Endocyte Inc., was sold to Novartis in 2018. Born in Ames, Iowa, in 1947, Low earned a bachelor’s degree in chemistry from Brigham Young University in 1971 and a doctorate in biochemistry from the University of California, San Diego, in 1975. He joined the Purdue University faculty in 1976. An AACR member since 2005, Low received the AACR Award for Outstanding Achievement in Chemistry in Cancer Research in 2015 in recognition of his research on low molecular weight ligand-targeted therapeutic and imaging agents. In the same year, he also received the American Chemical Society (ACS) George & Christine Sosnovsky Award for Cancer Research and was elected to the National Academy of Inventors. In August 2025, Low was named the recipient of the ACS Alfred Burger Award in Medicinal Chemistry for 2026. He also received the Order of the Griffin and the Morrill Award from Purdue.

For more remebrances of past AACR members please visit: https://www.aacr.org/professionals/membership/in-memoriam/

Other recent In Memoriam on this Open Access Scientific Journal Include:

News from AACR; In Memoriam: Nobel Leaureate David Baltimore, Ph.D

In Memoriam: Professor Yitzhak Apeloig, President and Distinguised Professor of the Technion

 

 

 

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In Memoriam: Professor Yitzhak Apeloig, President and Distinguised Professor of the Technion

Reporters: Aviva Lev-Ari, PhD, RN and Stephen J. Williams, Ph.D.

From the Technion:

The Technion community mourns the passing of Distinguished Professor Yitzhak Apeloig (1944–2026), president of the Technion from 2001 to 2009 and one of Israel’s most distinguished chemists.
A pioneer in computational chemistry and organosilicon compounds, Prof. Apeloig made groundbreaking scientific contributions while mentoring generations of researchers and helping position the Technion as a global leader in science and technology.
During his presidency, he expanded interdisciplinary research, strengthened international partnerships, increased investment in research infrastructure and scholarships, and advanced collaboration between engineering, medicine, and the humanities.
“Prof. Apeloig led the Technion with quiet confidence and steadfast leadership,” said Technion President Prof. Uri Sivan. “His years in office were marked by exceptional academic development and a profound impact on the State of Israel and beyond.”
The Technion was his home and family. He will be deeply missed. May his memory be a blessing.

Distinguished Professor Yitzhak Apeloig (1944–2026), president of the Technion from 2001 to 2009 and one of Israel’s most distinguished chemists

Distinguished Professor Yitzhak Apeloig (1944–2026), president of the Technion from 2001 to 2009 and one of Israel’s most distinguished chemists

The seminal publications that define his academic footprint include:

1. Foundational Computational and Structural Chemistry

During the mid-1970s and 1980s, Apeloig co-authored several massive, highly cited studies establishing the rules of computational molecular architecture, specifically challenging traditional rules of carbon and silicon bonding.

  • “Stabilization of planar tetracoordinate carbon”
    • Journal of the American Chemical Society (1976)
    • Co-authors: J. B. Collins, J. D. Dill, E. D. Jemmis, P. v. R. Schleyer, R. Seeger, J. A. Pople
    • Impact: A true milestone in structural chemistry that theoretically demonstrated how specific substitution patterns could stabilize a planar geometry around a carbon atom, defying the standard tetrahedral configuration.
  • “A theoretical survey of unsaturated or multiply bonded and divalent silicon compounds. Comparison with carbon analogs”
    • Journal of the American Chemical Society (1986)
    • Co-authors: B. T. Luke, J. A. Pople, M. B. Krogh-Jespersen, M. Karni, J. Chandrasekhar, P. v. R. Schleyer
    • Impact: A definitive ab initio survey that comprehensively mapped out the differences between carbon and silicon multiple bonds, predicting the stability and reaction behaviors of transient silicon chemical species.
2. High-Impact Silicon and Stable Carbene Analogs

In the 1990s and 2000s, Apeloig focused on predicting and identifying highly sought-after reactive intermediates—particularly “impossible” double bonds and carbenes.

  • “On the Question of Stability, Conjugation, and ‘Aromaticity’ in Imidazol-2-ylidenes and Their Silicon Analogs”
    • Journal of the American Chemical Society (1996)
    • Co-authors: C. Heinemann, T. Müller, H. Schwarz
    • Impact: Heavily cited paper evaluating the electronic properties, structural stability, and aromaticity of N-heterocyclic carbenes (NHCs) versus their heavier silicon counterparts (silylenes).
  • “Substituent effects on the geometries and energies of the silicon-silicon double bond”
    • Journal of the American Chemical Society (1990)
    • Co-author: M. Karni
    • Impact: This study mapped how changing the attached chemical groups altered the trans-bending and bond lengths of $Si=Si$ double bonds, establishing a predictive guide for experimentalists trying to isolate stable disilenes.
3. Definitive Academic Reviews and Reference Books

Beyond standalone journal entries, Apeloig is globally recognized for editing the foundational texts that summarized the state of organosilicon chemistry for generations of scientists.

  • “The Chemistry of Organic Silicon Compounds” (Volumes 1, 2, and 3)
    • Co-edited with: Zvi Rappoport (Published by John Wiley & Sons, beginning in 1989)
    • Impact: Apeloig authored critical chapters, such as “Theoretical Aspects of Organosilicon Compounds,” within these volumes. This multi-book compendium serves as the literal “bible” for researchers studying silicon polymers, reactive silicon intermediates, and silicon-based material sciences.

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China is Making Large Inroads into Biotech: Is Investment Money Following? Is US Investment Money Following the China Biotech Boom?

Curator: Stephen J. Williams, Ph.D.

UPDATED: 6/02/2026

From ASCO 2026, a Chinese biotech, Akeso, shows amazing clinical results for lung cancer with its bispecific PD-L1-VEGF bispecific antibody.  As more and more US companies are making deals with Chinese biotechs is drug discovery and the biotech world heading far East?

Source: From FierceBiotech

As Akeso takes center stage at ASCO, China biotech industry cements its coming of age

In 2017, a little-known company called Nanjing Legend Biotech walked into the ASCO annual meeting at the 11th hour, dropped a 100% objective response rate for a cell therapy that would become Carvykti, and single-handedly put Chinese biotech on the global map. Nearly a decade later, taking the center stage at ASCO 2026, Akeso’s ivonescimab made history by offering the first-ever Chinese data set to command a coveted spot on the plenary session.

“We see a lot of sophistication and skill in Chinese companies,” Marjorie Green, M.D., head of oncology global clinical development at Merck Research Laboratories, said in an interview.

The maturity of the Chinese biopharma industry is evidenced by the deals it has signed. Through a potential $3.3 billion pact in 2024, Merck secured global rights to a PD-1xVEGF competitor to ivonescimab from China’s LaNova Medicines. The following year, LaNova was acquired by Sino Biopharm in the first full acquisition of an innovative Chinese biotech by a domestic large pharma on record, a milestone widely viewed as evidence of an increasingly mature ecosystem.  At ASCO, ivonescimab’s landmark overall survival (OS) win against a PD-1 inhibitor in their respective combinations with chemotherapy in first-line squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was just one of numerous studies of Chinese assets that reshaped the conference’s narrative. In what Natalie Vokes, M.D., of the MD Anderson Cancer Center said “could well be a practice-changing study” if validated in a global trial, Kelun-Biotech’s TROP2 antibody-drug conjugate, sac-TMT, paired with Keytruda, slashed the risk of progression or death by 65% versus Keytruda alone in Chinese patients with previously untreated PD-L1-positive NSCLC. That drug, too, also has been swept into the Merck universe.

Source: https://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/akeso-takes-center-stage-asco-china-biotech-industry-cements-its-coming-age?utm_medium=email&utm_source=nl&utm_campaign=LS-NL-FierceBiotech&oly_enc_id=8019F9554889F7C

UPDATED: 5/18/2026

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/bristol-myers-squibb-turns-to-chinas-hengrui-to-replenish-pipeline.html

Bristol Myers Squibb turns to China to develop new drugs in newest cross-continent collaboration

  • Bristol Myers Squibb this week announced a partnership with Hengrui Pharma to develop drugs together.
  • American and European biopharmaceutical companies are increasingly looking to China for their next blockbusters.
  • Bristol’s deal is unique because the U.S. drugmaker will send several experimental drugs to China for early testing.

Bristol Myers Squibb on Tuesday announced the potential multibillion-dollar partnership with one of China’s top drugmakers, Hengrui Pharma. The companies will work together to develop about a dozen drugs, including four that Bristol discovered and will send to China for Hengrui to run the early-stage clinical trials. The pair of companies will also collaborate to discover new drugs.

“It’s a huge signal,” said Michael Baran, head of private investments at healthcare-focused hedge fund Affinity Asset Advisors and a former partner at Pfizer Ventures.

He said U.S. drugmakers have partnered with Chinese companies to develop drugs before, including Amgen’s 2019 collaboration with BeOne. But Bristol’s deal is significant because it is more reciprocal, he said. It raises the prospect that more U.S. drugmakers could increasingly carry out early drug development in China as they try to bring treatments to market more quickly, and that Chinese companies could start to become global powerhouses.

UPDATED: 2/28/2026

From Source: https://www.bizjournals.com/philadelphia/news/2026/02/12/madrigal-pharmaceuticals-conshohocken-mash-china.html 

By John George – Senior Reporter, Philadelphia Business Journal
Updated 

Conshohocken firm enters into potential $4.5B deal to expand drug pipeline

 

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals broadened its pipeline of drug candidates this week by entering into a global licensing agreement, potentially valued at more than $4 billion, for six experimental therapy programs.  Under the terms of the deal, Madrigal (NASDAQ: MDGL) agreed to pay Suzhou Ribo Life Science Co. Ltd. of China and its subsidiary Ribocure Pharmaceuticals AB $60 million upfront. Ribo could also receive up to $4.4 billion in development, regulatory and commercial milestone payments based on the programs achieving a series of unspecified goals. Conshohocken-based Madrigal has one product in the market, Rezdiffra, a treatment for the serious liver disease metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). A common route for raising capital or exit strategy for many US biotechs has been strategic transfer or sale of intellectual property (IP) or strategic partnership with large pharmaceutical companies looking to acquire new biotechnologies or expand their own pipelines. Most US based biotechs had enjoyed a favorable (although not fully exclusive) deal-making environment with US pharmaceutical companies with some competition from international biotech companies.  US government agencies such as FINRA, CFIUS, and the SEC closely monitored such international deals and the regulatory environment for such international deal making in the biotechnology space was tight. The company last July entered into a licensing agreement, valued at up to $2.1 billion, for an MASH drug being developed by CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Ltd of China.

 

Smaller Chinese biotechs have operated in the United States (at various biotech hubs around the country) and have usually set up as either service entities to the biotech industry as contract research organizations (Wuxi AppTech), developing research reagents for biotech (Sino Biological) or conducting research for purposes of transferring IP to a parent company in China.  Most likely Chinese biotechs set up research operations because of the overabundance of biotech hubs in the United States, with a dearth of these innovation hubs in the China mainland.

 

However, as highlighted in the Next in Health Podcast Series from PriceWaterHouseCoopers (PwC), China has been rapidly been developing innovation hubs as well as biotech hubs.  And Chinese biotech companies are staying home in mainly China and exporting their IP to major US pharmaceutical companies.  As PwC notes this deal making between Chinese biotech in China and US pharmaceutical companies have rapidly expanded recently.

 

The following are notes from PriceWaterHouseCoopers (PwC) podcast entitled: Strategic Shifts: Navigating China’s Biotech Boom and Its Impact on US Pharma:

 

You can hear this podcast on YouTube at https://music.youtube.com/podcast/iguywci6oG0 

 

Tune in as Glenn Hunzinger, PwC’s Health Industries Leader and Roel van den Akker, PwC’s Pharma and Life Sciences Deals Leader discuss the rapid rise of China’s biotech industry and what it means for U.S. pharmaceutical companies. They discuss the evolving role of Chinese biotech in the global innovation landscape and share perspectives on how U.S. pharmaceutical companies can thoughtfully assess opportunities, manage cross-border complexities, and build effective partnering and diligence strategies.

 

 Discussion highlights:

 

  • China’s biotech industry is growing fast and becoming a global player, with U.S. companies increasingly looking to partner with Chinese firms on cutting-edge science
  • U.S. pharma leaders are encouraged to move beyond skepticism and stay curious by building relationships, learning from local innovation, and exploring new partnership opportunities
  • Successfully partnering with Chinese biotech firms requires a careful and well-structured approach that accounts for global complexity, protects data and IP, and uses creative deal structures like new company formations to manage risk and stay flexible
  • U.S. companies need to be proactive in order to stay competitive by actively exploring global innovation, understanding the risks, and having a clear strategy to bring high-potential science to U.S. patients

 

Speakers:

 

Roel Van den Akker, Pharmaceutical and Life Sciences Deals Leader 

 

Glenn Hunzinger, Partner, Health Industries Leader, PwC

 

Linked materials:

 

https://www.pwc.com/us/en/industries/health-industries/health-research-institute/next-in-health-podcast/strategic-shifts-navigating-chinas-biotech-boom-and-its-impact-on-us-pharma.html 

 

China’s rise as a biotech innovation hub: 4 key strategic questions for US biopharma executives 

 

For more information, please visit us at: https://www.pwc.com/us/en/industries/..

 

In 2019 there were zero in licensing deals from China to US pharma…. Today one in five come from China.  

  1. China evolved into a expanding economy because China invested in biotech companies
  2. Lots of skilled people
  3. Built centers that rivaled biotech innovation centers in places like  Boston, California Bay  Area, and Philadelphia

China has gone from low cost manufacturing country to an innovative economy with great science coming out of it. US pharma boardrooms need to understand this

 

The analysts at PWC suggest to look at Data integrity, IP protection and risks before bringing China biotech IP  in US.  It is imperative that companies do ample due  diligence.

 

China’s rise as a biotech innovation hub: 4 key strategic questions for US biopharma executives

May 08, 2025

Roel van den Akker; Partner, Pharmaceutical & Life Science Deals Leader, PwC

China’s biotech sector is evolving at breakneck speed — and the implications for US pharma are too significant to ignore. Over the past five years, China has transitioned from being a nice to watch market to a central pillar of global biopharma innovation. Today, one-third of in-licensed molecules at US pharma multinationals originate from China, up from virtually zero in 2019.

China’s biotech sector, however, is not monolithic or uniform. The ecosystem spans high-quality, globally competitive biotech hubs in cities like Hangzhou and Suzhou — home to companies producing first-in-class and novel innovations in ophthalmology, cardiovascular, and immunology — as well as a long tail of undercapitalized players where execution and capability gaps remain profound.

And now, Washington is paying attention, too. A recent report from the US National Security Commission on Emerging Biotechnology (NSCEB) highlighted China’s ambitions to dominate biotech as a “strategic priority” with dual-use implications across health and security. The report urges the US government and private sector to reassess dependencies and increase scrutiny of biotechnology partnerships abroad. For the US biopharma industry, this isn’t just a supply chain concern — it is a boardroom issue.

With the licensing market still skewed toward buyers, venture funding remaining depressed in China and IPO windows in Hong Kong slowly reopening, there is a compelling window for US companies to secure differentiated assets at relatively attractive terms. Speedy deal execution is increasingly important as the highest quality assets are being quickly scooped up. But navigating this terrain can require more than opportunism. It calls for deliberate strategy, structured governance and a nuanced geopolitical risk framework.

Here are four questions every US biopharma executive should be asking:

1. What is our posture toward preclinical and clinical science from China?

Are we approaching Chinese innovation with a default posture of skepticism or strategic curiosity? Many top-tier Chinese biotechs are now generating US-caliber data at the speed of light, particularly in therapeutic modalities such as mAbs, ADCs and T-cell engagers, but plenty still have execution gaps. Those that elect to lean in will likely need a deliberate eco-system approach geared towards being the partner of choice and local brand building.

2. What does our China diligence playbook look like?

In light of national security concerns, companies need a China-specific diligence framework — one that goes beyond the science. This includes scrutiny around data integrity, IP protection, export controls, and cross border data sharing.

3. What is our plan post-licensing or acquisition?

Ownership is just the start. US companies need a clear strategy for globalizing China-origin assets — from IND transfers to FDA filing to commercial launch. In some cases, that may require reworking the preclinical package or rebuilding the CMC infrastructure entirely. Increasingly, US (or Europe)-based “Newcos” may serve as geopolitical firewalls.

4. How can we preserve agility amid regulatory and political volatility?

With rising US-China tensions and new export control proposals under review, companies must future-proof deal structures. This could include regional carveouts, US-only development rights, or milestone-gated commitments. The NSCEB report makes clear: passive engagement is no longer tenable.

Innovation strategy meets national interest

The trendlines are clear: China is not just a manufacturing hub — it is an increasingly important source of global biotech innovation. But sourcing innovation from China now sits at the intersection of science, strategy and security. US pharma and biopharma companies can no longer afford to treat China engagement as tactical. Those who adopt a deliberate, resilient and agile China strategy — grounded in scientific rigor and geopolitical realism — likely lead in tomorrow’s innovation race.

 

Source: https://www.pwc.com/us/en/industries/health-industries/library/china-biotech-sector.html 

 

US pharma bets big on China to snap up potential blockbuster drugs

By Sriparna Roy and Sneha S K

June 16, 202511:26 AM EDTUpdated June 16, 2025

A researcher prepares medicine at a laboratory in Nanjing University in Nanjing, Jiangsu province, April 29, 2011. REUTERS/Aly Song/File Photo Purchase Licensing Rights

, opens new tab

  • U.S. drugmakers turn to Chinese companies as they face patent expirations
  • Licensing deals accelerate while traditional mergers decline
  • Chinese biotechs are challenging Western peers, analysts say

June 16 (Reuters) – U.S. drugmakers are licensing molecules from China for potential new medicines at an accelerating pace, according to new data, betting they can turn upfront payments of as little as $80 million into multibillion-dollar treatments.

Through June, U.S. drugmakers have signed 14 deals potentially worth $18.3 billion to license drugs from China-based companies. That compares with just two such deals in the year-earlier period, according to data from GlobalData provided exclusively to Reuters.

 

How to stop the shift of drug discovery from the U.S. to China. The FDA must make it easier to do such work in the U.S.

Scott GottliebMay 6, 2025

 

Five years ago, U.S. pharmaceutical companies didn’t license any new drugs from China. By 2024, one-third of their new compounds were coming from Chinese biotechnology firms.

Why are U.S. drugmakers sending their business to China? As in many other industries, it’s so much cheaper to synthesize new compounds inside Chinese biotechnology firms once a novel biological target has been discovered in American laboratories.

Yet the costs of developing new drugs in the U.S. needn’t be so high. They are driven up, in part, by increasing regulatory requirements that burden early-stage drug discovery in America. That’s especially true for Phase I clinical trials, in which drugs are tested in people for the first time.

Newsletter

The smartest thinkers in life sciences on what’s happening — and what’s to come

This shift of discovery work to China is going to accelerate if we don’t take deliberate steps to make it easier to do such work here in America. Yet the imperative to modernize early-stage drug development — to ensure that groundbreaking drug discovery remains in the U.S. rather than migrating to China — is colliding head-on with an impulse to slash the very government workforce capable of spearheading these reforms. These conflicting impulses have created a paradoxical tension: on one hand, the desire to stay competitive with China in biotechnology innovation, and on the other, a parallel campaign to reduce and in some cases dismantle the investments and institutions essential to achieving that goal.

In most cases, Chinese firms are not discovering new biological targets, nor are they crafting genuinely novel compounds to engage these targets through homegrown Chinese research. Instead, they piggyback on Western innovations by scouring U.S. patents, zeroing in on biological targets that are initially uncovered in American labs, and then developing “me too” drugs that replicate American-made compounds with only superficial tweaks, or producing “fast follower” drugs that capitalize on the original breakthroughs while refining key features to try to surpass U.S. innovation. Facing fewer regulations, the Chinese drugmakers can move more quickly than U.S. biotechnology companies — synthesizing copy-cat drugs based on our biological advances and then promptly moving these Chinese-made compounds into early-stage clinical trials, outpacing their American counterparts.

According to the investment bank Jefferies, large American drug companies spent more than $4.2 billion over the past year licensing or acquiring new compounds originally synthesized by Chinese firms. Many comprised advanced compounds such as antibody drugs and cell therapies — underscoring Chinese companies’ growing sophistication in adopting the latest American technologies. The cost of licensing these compounds from China, rather than synthesizing them in American labs, can be significantly lower. At a time when research funding in the U.S. is being cut, and research budgets are becoming painfully stretched, companies are looking to lower the cost of building their pipelines. In a fast-moving field such as oncology, this shift toward Chinese-synthesized compounds is particularly striking: I am told by someone inside the FDA process that nearly three-quarters of new small molecule cancer drugs submitted to the Food and Drug Administration for permission to begin U.S.-based clinical trials are initially made in China.

Usually, only a few months elapse between the moment a U.S. research team publishes a patent identifying a new biological target and when a biotechnology firm in China creates the corresponding drug that capitalizes on these findings. Because Chinese firms can synthesize new molecules at a fraction of the cost incurred by U.S. biotechnology companies — owing to a large and skilled but much cheaper workforce — they find the most intriguing biological targets pursued by Western researchers, rapidly churning out potent yet less expensive copycat molecules that they then market to Western companies.

A major challenge for U.S. firms is the long and costly process of obtaining FDA approval for Phase I studies, in which drugmakers test a new drug’s safety and tolerability in a small group of human volunteers. In China, launching this initial phase of clinical trials is far simpler, giving Chinese biotechnology companies a competitive advantage: By swiftly advancing their molecules into early-stage patient testing, Chinese firms can more readily determine which compounds hit their biological targets and show the greatest therapeutic promise. This allows the Chinese firms to quickly refine their molecules and then leapfrog their American counterparts, who are slowed by more cautious regulatory processes. While China’s regulatory process doesn’t uphold the patient safeguards that Americans rightly insist upon, the U.S. FDA could still streamline its path into early-stage drug development, bolstering America’s competitive edge without compromising patient safety.

In the U.S., one of the costliest early hurdles is the exhaustive animal testing that the FDA requires before a drug can be advanced into Phase I studies. These “pre-clinical” studies help safeguard patients, but the agency also uses this testing to weed out potential failures before a drug requires more intensive FDA scrutiny in later trials.

Over time, this regulatory framework has frontloaded a significant share of costs to the earliest phases of drug development, when biotechnology startups are often running on shoestring budgets, lack clinical data to attract investors, and can least afford delays. One measure of the increasing difficulty in securing the FDA’s permission for Phase I trials is the growing number of U.S. drugmakers who take compounds discovered on American soil and conduct these clinical trials in other Western markets, where they can obtain data more quickly and inexpensively before bringing it back to the FDA. One popular locale is Australia, where costs run about 60% lower than U.S.-based clinical trials, largely because the Australian government offers tax incentives to attract this kind of biomedical investment.

Many animal studies address esoteric questions about a drug’s long-term effects on parameters that may not be relevant to its eventual use — for example, at doses and durations of use that may be far beyond how patients will ultimately use the drug. The FDA’s preclinical testing protocols sometimes require American researchers to administer new compounds to animals at levels up to 500 times higher than any intended dose for patients, aiming for maximum animal exposure before human trials can begin. Where the FDA needs to screen for certain remote risks, many animal studies could be safely deferred until human trials confirm that a drug may benefit patients. At that point, it becomes easier for biotechnology companies to raise capital to fund these pro forma testing efforts.

To modernize the process, the FDA could tap into the wealth of data from existing drugs to establish a more phased approach to these requirements, where the amount of initial animal testing is more closely matched to a drug’s novelty and a better estimation of its perceived risks. It’s a prime opportunity to employ artificial intelligence — mining current data and extrapolating known information to newly discovered molecules. For new molecules that share structural similarities with established drugs, where a robust body of safety information already exists (and the likelihood of uncovering novel risks is judged to be minimal), some animal studies might simply be unnecessary. To establish a graduated approach to the scope of pre-clinical toxicology studies that the FDA requires for new molecules, Congress could revise the agency’s statutory framework, explicitly empowering it to adopt such flexible standards. It would also require targeted investments, enabling the FDA to craft the necessary tools and protocols to implement these refined methodologies.

Mice and even primates are often poor proxies for many of the remote toxicities the FDA is trying to test for, anyway. The agency can also make a more concerted effort to adopt advanced technologies, like pieces of human organs embedded in chips that can be used to test for remote dangers a drug may pose to specific organs like the heart and liver. These tools can reliably screen for risks at a fraction of the time and cost. FDA Commissioner Marty Makary recently announced his intention to pursue a plan that would phase out animal studies in the preclinical evaluation of antibody drugs, shifting instead toward innovative technologies that assess toxicology without relying on live animals. This positive step requires the FDA to invest in new capabilities, and scientific staff that possess expertise in these novel domains.

But right now, that investment seems unlikely. The size and scientific scope of the FDA staff responsible for reviewing early-stage drug development — and evaluating data collected from animal studies — has failed to keep up with the increasing complexity and sheer volume of applications flooding into the agency to launch Phase I clinical trials. Now, the FDA has made deep staffing cuts, prompted by DOGE, that have specifically targeted scientific teams that would lead these essential reforms.

Adding to these woes, morale at the FDA has declined so markedly that many foresee a wave of voluntary resignations among clinical reviewers. By thinning the ranks of experts who tackle novel scientific questions and resolve issues that span across different drug development programs — especially the elimination of the policy office within the FDA’s Office of New Drugs, which adjudicated these kinds of cross-cutting scientific questions — the government has impeded the early dialogue with drug developers that often results in streamlining requirements for Phase I studies. Even more challenging, it weakens the staff’s ability to develop new guidance documents and put better review practices into place — reforms essential for lasting improvements to the preclinical review process.

Instead of strengthening America’s biotechnology ecosystem, such measures risk accelerating the migration of discovery activities to China, undermining innovation at home. When U.S. drugmakers license compounds from China, they divert funds that might otherwise bolster innovation hubs such as Boston’s Kendall Square or North Carolina’s Research Triangle. The U.S. biotechnology industry was the world’s envy, but if we’re not careful, every drug could be made in China.

Scott Gottlieb, M.D., is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and served as commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration from 2017 to 2019. He is a partner at the venture capital firm New Enterprise Associates and serves on the boards of directors of Pfizer Inc. and Illumina.

From FierceBiotech: US Biotech Companies are finding that foreign investments may put them in a precarious position for government funding

Source: https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/us-appears-be-terminating-grants-biotechs-investors-certain-countries 

 

By Gabrielle Masson  Jun 18, 2025 11:50am

 

By Gabrielle Masson  Jun 18, 2025

The Department of Health and Human Services is allegedly denying clinical trial funding for biotechs based on their ties to certain foreign investors, Fierce Biotech has learned.

At the BIO conference in Boston this week, Fierce spoke with a biotech executive who had their grant pulled, as well as an industry thought leader who backed up the claims about a change in the HHS’ funding approach.

“We’re in a situation where some of the companies are confused about their ability to take foreign investment,” said John Stanford, founder and executive director of Incubate, a nonprofit organization of biotech venture capital firms and patient advocacy groups designed to educate policymakers on life science investment and innovation.

“We’ve been hearing about SBIR grants canceled,” Stanford told Fierce in a separate interview at BIO. “Anecdotally, we’ve also heard it’s a lot more than China and it’s countries—Canada, Norway, the EU—that traditionally we think of as allies.”

“Again, that’s anecdotal,” he stressed. “But we would be very concerned [about] the idea that we won’t take Canadian investments or Japanese investments or EU-based investments.”

“We want foreign investors coming to U.S.-based companies to develop drugs for the world,” Stanford said. “That is a win-win-win.”

Back in February, President Donald Trump issued a memorandum titled the “America First Investment Policy” that aims to restrict both inbound and outbound investments related to “foreign adversaries” in certain strategic industries. The document lacks specifics but puts China front and center while mentioning both healthcare and biotech among the sectors it will regulate.

And the investment analysis firm Jeffries noted that

 

Looking at financial data from FactSet, Jefferies analysts found biotech funding in May 2025 was down 57%, to just over $2.7 billion, compared to the same time last year. That sum was only slightly better than the nearly $2.6 billion raised in April — the worst haul in three years — and was also 44% lower than the average seen across the past 12 months.

 

Source: https://www.biopharmadive.com/news/biotech-funding-trump-policy-ipo-venture-pipe/749784/ 

 

But according to other Jeffries analysis biotech investment is not diminishing but realigning and maybe going international:

 

From Health Tech World: https://www.htworld.co.uk/insight/opinion/biotech-investment-isnt-shrinking-its-smarter-fn25/ 

Today, total capital remains relatively steady, but it’s flowing differently.

Fewer companies are commanding a greater share of investment, and a new global map of biotech leadership is emerging—one where Israel, Italy, Korea, Saudi Arabia, and NAME are not just participants but strategic innovators and investors in the space.

While some correction was inevitable after the pandemic’s urgency subsided, the sector’s foundation had already changed.

CROs didn’t scale down; they doubled down, offering sponsors the flexibility to develop therapies without taking on the full weight of manufacturing and trials in-house.

This shift underpinned a new era of capital efficiency and strategic outsourcing, which is strongly influenced by new smart technologies that generate code and content at a blink of an eye and refine research protocols.

Selective but Strong: The New Capital Math

After the surge of 2020–2021, a funding correction began in late 2022.

According to Jefferies, biotech funding in May 2025 was down 57 per cent year-over-year, dropping to roughly $2.7 billion.

Public markets also cooled. In 2023, biotech IPOs hit their lowest numbers in a decade, and follow-on offerings became increasingly rare.

This deceleration prompted talk of a “biotech winter.” Yet key indicators suggest a market in transition rather than decline. Private equity and venture capital remain active but are more selective.

While early-stage companies face greater hurdles, late-stage biotechs and those with de-risked clinical programs continue to attract significant funding.

Follow the Late-Stage Money

A recent GlobalData report underscores this trend: late-stage biotech companies now receive nearly double the capital of their earlier-stage counterparts.

Median venture rounds for Phase III companies have climbed to $62.5 million, as investors increasingly prioritise assets with regulatory clarity and near-term commercialisation potential.

The post-COVID period has revealed an important funding shift: fewer biotech companies are securing a larger percentage of available capital.

In an environment of macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and rising interest rates, investors are retreating from speculative bets and doubling down on known quantities.

From Gemini: Is US biotech investment going overseas in 2025? Plot in a bar graph the US biotech investment versus worldwide biotech investment by country

Is US biotech investment going overseas in 2025? Plot in a bar graph the US biotech investment versus worldwide biotech investment by country

Yes the US has many more venture capital  firms focused on Biotech investment but it is appearing that investment is not staying in the US.

The global biotech funding landscape in 2023: U.S. leads while Europe and China make strides

Earth planet inside DNA molecule. Elements of this image are furnished by NASA

[Image courtesy of Sergey Nivens/Adobe Stock]

In 2023, the U.S. continued to demonstrate its position as the biotech funding leader, commanding over one-third, 35%, of the global investment in the sector. Overall, U.S. biotech firms attracted $56.79 billion in funding, according to a survey of Crunchbase data. Next in line was China, which contributed about 12.7% to the global funding pool, or $20.61 billion. Up next was Europe, which secured more than $11.46 billion and representing more than 7% of the worldwide funding.

While U.S. leads in total biotech funding, Chinese biotech companies, on average, saw larger funding rounds than either Europe or the U.S. The average funding size per company in China was roughly three times larger than that in the U.S. and six times larger than the average in Europe.

But while China-based companies had larger hauls, they were comparatively few. Chinese biotech secured in cumulative $20.61 billion among just 69 firms, with roughly $299 million in funding per company on average. Meanwhile, the 229 European biotech firms that won funding in the past year attracted $11.46 billion in funding, averaging $50 million each. In comparison, the 583 U.S. biotech companies with recent funding attracted $56.79 billion, averaging $97 million per company.

The map below represents the total biotech funding amount in USD across the globe. Funding amounts are shaded based on companies’ cumulative funding totals and density. Darker shades indicate higher funding amounts and density, with the U.S. hubs on the East and West Coasts showing the darkest shade, reflecting the combination of total funding and density.

The Chinese Biotech Market is expected to grow to over 800 million in 2025. This is on the heels of phenomenal growth from 2013, where almost a ten fold increase in market size growth has been seen from 2013 to 2025. Source: https://www.franklintempleton.co.uk/articles/2025/clearbridge-investments/china-emerging-as-a-global-biotechnology-player

 

Size of the US Biotech Market is expected to grow from half a billion in 2023 to 1.7 trillion in 2033. Source novaoneadvisor.com

 

Biotech investment trends in the US for 2025 present a complex picture. While some reports indicate a general slowdown in venture funding for biotech startups and concerns about tariff impacts, other sources suggest resilience within the sector, with strong revenue growth for public biotech companies in both the US and Europe in 2024, expected to continue into 2025. Additionally, there are calls for significant investment within the US to maintain its leadership in biotechnology. Therefore, it is not definitively clear that US biotech investment is predominantly going overseas in 2025, but rather navigating a challenging and evolving landscape.

Regarding US biotech investment versus worldwide biotech investment by country, here is a bar graph of key biotech investment moves in 2025 based on available data. Please note that this data reflects “key moves” in biotech funding for 2025 as reported by Labiotech, and a comprehensive worldwide investment breakdown for all countries was not available.

From Franklin Templeton: China is Emerging as a Global Biotechnology Player

See Source for more: https://www.franklintempleton.co.uk/articles/2025/clearbridge-investments/china-emerging-as-a-global-biotechnology-player 

The combined value of China’s outside licensing deals reached around US$46 billion in 2024, up from US$38 billion in 2023 and US$28 billion in 2022, according to data provider NextPharma. Meanwhile, the number of global companies licensing into China has decreased across the same period. These tailwinds have helped China expand its share of global drug development to nearly 30% compared to 48% for the United States, according to data provider Citeline. Strong IP protection has positioned China to receive global investment, with a 2024 policy encouraging more IP collaboration between global and Chinese companies. US investment bank Stifel projects that molecules licensed by large pharmaceutical firms from China will increase to 37% in 2025. This shift has been largely driven by US companies seeking cheaper drug development alternatives and has led to R&D spending in China outpacing that of the United States.

A Closer Look at the Financials and Comparison between China and US Biotech Investment Trends

This rapid growth of Chinese biopharma was predictable back in 2018 as this article from an investment newsletter suggests:

China’s Biopharma Industry: Market Prospects, Investment Paths

Source: https://www.china-briefing.com/news/china-booming-biopharmaceuticals-market-innovation-investment-opportunities/ 

November 10, 2022Posted by China BriefingWritten by Yi WuReading Time:  5 minutes

Biopharma, short for biopharmaceuticals, are medical products produced using biotechnology (or biotech). Typical biopharma products include pharmaceuticals generated from living organisms, vaccines, gene therapy, etc.

An important subsector of biotech, China’s biopharma industry has much attention home and abroad, especially after Chinese companies developed multiple COVID-19 vaccines now in wide circulation. Market capitalization of Chinese biopharma companies grew to over US$200 billion in 2020 from US$1 billion in 2016.

With China’s rapidly aging population and a growing affluent middle-class, the country’s biopharma industry presents challenging but compelling opportunities to investors.

In this article, we discuss the market size, growth drivers, and global competition facing China’s biopharma industry and suggest potential investment paths.

How big is China’s biopharma market?

Biopharmaceuticals in China is a lucrative business, with significant domestic demand due to an aging population and expanding household budgets for quality products and services as people’s living standards improve.

China’s healthcare market is predicted to expand from around US$900 billion (RMB 6.47 trillion) in 2019 to US$2.3 trillion (RMB 16.53 trillion) in 2030, and its market size is second to only the US. China’s total expenditure on healthcare as a component of its GDP increased to 5.35 percent in 2019 from 4.23 percent in 2010.

Specifically to the biopharma industry, the market size will likely grow from RMB 345.7 billion (US$47.60 billion) in 2020 to RMB 811.6 billion (US$111.76 billion) in 2025, an 135 percent increase in five years. Similarly, market capitalization of Chinese biopharma companies grew from US$1 billion in 2016 to over US$200 billion in 2020. From 2010 to 2020, 141 new drug and biotech companies were launched in China, doubling from the previous decade.

What are the growth drivers for China’s biopharma industry?

The broader biotech sector is a main focus of the Chinese government’s “Made in China 2025” strategy. The country needs a steady biopharmaceutical industry to address its healthcare needs and to build an internationally competitive and innovative pharmaceutical industry as part of wider economic restructuring. Under the same momentum, on January 30, 2022, nine agencies jointly issued the “14th Five-year Plan for the Development of the Pharmaceuticals Industry” as a guiding document that clarifies the goals and directions for China’s pharmaceutical industry development in the next five years.

Now let’s compare the size of the US biotech market: You can see the US biotech valuation is now similar to the estimated market capitalization of the China market.

 

The U.S. biotechnology market size was valued at USD 621.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,794.11 billion by 2033, registering a CAGR of 12.5% from 2024 to 2033. Ongoing government initiatives are the key factors driving the growth of the market. Also, improving approval processes coupled with the favorable reimbursement policies can fuel market growth further.

Key Takeaways:

  •         DNA sequencing dominated this market and held the highest revenue market share of 18% in 2023
  •         The others’ segment is anticipated to grow at the fastest CAGR of 28.1% during the forecast period.
  •         The health segment dominated the market and accounted for the largest revenue market share of 44.13% in 2023.
  •         Bioinformatics is expected to witness the fastest growth, with a CAGR of 17.2% during the forecast period.

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The U.S. biotechnology market is witnessing major growth contributed by the increasing adoption and applications of biotechnology in many industries like pharmaceuticals, agriculture, food production, environmental conservation, and energy. In addition, market players in the industry are increasingly focusing on innovations across many fields such as energy, medicine, and materials science using biological processes to overcome challenges and fuel technological advancements. Also, in recent years there has been a notable surge in the utilization of biotechnological methods including DNA fingerprinting, stem cell technology, and genetic engineering propelling the market expansion soon.

 

From BioPharmaDive

Source: https://www.biopharmadive.com/news/biotech-us-china-competition-drug-deals/737543/ 

‘The bar has risen’: China’s biotech gains push US companies to adapt

A fast-improving pipeline of drugs invented in China is attracting pharma dealmakers, putting pressure on U.S. biotechs and the VC firms that back them.

Published Jan. 16, 2025

Ben Fidler

Senior Editor

Soon after starting a new biotechnology company, David Li realized he needed to rethink his strategy. 

Li had been conducting the competitive research biotech entrepreneurs typically undertake before soliciting investment. He drew up a list of drug targets that his startup, Meliora Therapeutics, could pursue and checked them against the potential competition. 

Li quickly found that biotechs in China were already working on many of the targets he had on his list. Curious, he visited Shanghai and Suzhou and witnessed a buzzing scene of startups set frenetically to task. 

The latest developments in oncology research

“They’re not really thinking about the U.S. at all. They’re just trying to create more value and stay alive to differentiate themselves from the next guy in China,” he said. “They’re moving quick. There are a lot of them and they’re just quite competitive.”

Li’s experience is illustrative of a trend that could pressure biotech companies in the U.S. and alter their drug development strategies. More and more, large pharmaceutical companies are licensing experimental drugs from China. Venture companies are testing similar tactics by launching new U.S. startups around compounds sourced from China’s laboratories. This shift has been sudden, with licensing deals ramping rapidly over the past two years. And it is occurring even as the shadow of U.S.-China competition within biotech grows longer. 

Executives and investors interviewed by BioPharma Dive at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference this week share Li’s outlook. They expect such deals will accelerate and, in the process, force U.S. biotechs to work harder to stand out. 

“We’ve been warning people for a while, we’re losing our edge,” said Paul Hastings, CEO of cell therapy maker Nkarta and former chair of the U.S. lobbying group the Biotechnology Innovation Organization. “Innovation is now showing up on our doorstep.”

There’s perhaps no clearer example of this than ivonescimab, a drug developed by China-based Akeso Therapeutics and licensed by U.S.-based Summit Therapeutics. Recent results from a lung cancer study run in China showed ivonescimab outperformed Keytruda, Merck’s dominant immunotherapy and currently the pharmaceutical industry’s most lucrative single product. 

The finding “put a huge focus on what’s happening in China,” said Boris Zaïtra, head of business development at Roche, which sells a rival to Keytruda. 

Fast-moving research

Today’s deal boom has roots in efforts by the Chinese government to upgrade the country’s biotech capabilities by upping investment in technological innovation. In the life sciences, the initiative provided funding, discounted or even free laboratory space and grants to support what Li described as a “robust ecosystem” of biotechs. 

The results are clear. Places like Shanghai and Suzhou are home to a skilled workforce of scientists and hundreds of homegrown companies that employ them. Science parks akin to the U.S. biotech hubs of Cambridge, Massachusetts and San Francisco have sprouted up. 

Chinese companies generally can move faster, and at a lower cost, than their U.S. counterparts. Startups can go from launch to clinical trials in 18 months or less, compared to a few years in the U.S., Li estimated. Clinical trial enrollment is speedy, while staffing and supply chain costs are lower, helping companies move drugs along more cost effectively. 

“If you’re a national company within China running a trial, just by virtue of the networks that you work within, you pay a fraction of what we pay, and the access to patients is enough that you can go really fast,” said Andy Plump, head of research at Takeda Pharmaceutical. “All of those are enablers.” 

And what they’ve enabled is a large and growing stockpile of drug prospects, many of which are designed as “me too better” versions of existing medicines, analysts at the investment bank Jefferies wrote in a December report. Initially focused in oncology, China-based companies are now churning out high-quality compounds across multiple therapeutic areas, including autoimmune conditions and obesity. 

“There was a huge boom of investment in China, cost of capital was very low, and all these companies blew out huge pipelines,” said Alexis Borisy, a biotech investor and founder of venture capital firm Curie.Bio. ”Anything that anybody was doing in the biotech and pharmaceutical industry, you could probably find 10 to 50 versions of it across the China ecosystem.”

Me-toos become me-betters

For years now, Western biopharma executives have scouted the pipelines of China’s biotech laboratories — exploration that yielded a smattering of licensing deals and research collaborations. Borisy was among them, starting in 2020 a company called EQRx that sought to bring Chinese versions of already-approved drugs to the U.S. and sell them for less. EQRx’s plan backfired amid scrutiny by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration of medicines tested only in people from a single country.

Now, however, the pace of deals has accelerated rapidly. There are a few reasons for this. According to Plump, one is the improving quality of the drug compounds being developed. The “me toos” are becoming “me betters” that could surpass available therapies and earn significant revenue for companies — like BeiGene’s blood cancer drug Brukinsa, which, in new prescriptions for the treatment of leukemia, overtook two established medicines of the same type last year. 

Another reason, Plump said, is that China-based companies are becoming more innovative, studying drug targets that might not have yet yielded marketed medicines, or for which the most advanced competition is in early testing. Li notes how Chinese companies are going after harder “engineering problems,” like making complex, multifunctional antibody drugs, or antibody-drug conjugates. 

“There are so many [companies] that the new assets are going to keep coming,” Li said. 

Inside the market strategies of today’s drugmakers

Much as in the U.S., China-based biotechs are also fighting for funding, pushing them to consider licensing deals with multinational pharma companies. At the same time, these pharmas are hunting for cheap medicines they can plug into their pipelines ahead of looming patent cliffs. The two trends are “colliding,” said Kristina Burow, a managing director with Arch Venture Partners. “I don’t see an end to that.”

The statistics bear Burow’s view out. According to Jefferies, the number and average value of deals for China-developed drugs reached record levels last year. Another report, from Stifel’s Tim Opler, showed that pharma companies now source about one-third of their in-licensed molecules from China, up from around 10% to 12% between 2020 and 2022. 

“I see huge opportunities for us to partner and work together with Chinese companies,” said Plump, of Takeda. 

Several venture-backed startups have been built around China-originated drugs, too, among them Kailera Therapeutics, Verdiva Bio, Candid Therapeutics and Ouro Medicines, all of which launched with nine-figure funding rounds. 

“There’s been a lot of really good, high quality molecules and data that have emerged from China over the last couple of years,” said Robert Plenge, the head of research at Bristol Myers Squibb. “It’s also no longer just simply repeating what’s been done with the exact same type of molecule.”

Geopolitical risks

These deals are happening against an uncertain backdrop. The U.S. Congress has spent the last year or so kicking around iterations of the Biosecure Act, a bill that would restrict U.S. biotechs from working with certain China-based drug contractors. A committee in the House of Representatives is calling for new limits on clinical trials that involve Chinese military hospitals. And the incoming Trump administration has threatened tariffs that could ripple across industrial sectors. 

“We don’t know what this new administration is going to do,” said Jon Norris, a managing director at HSBC Innovation Banking.

The Biosecure Act “keeps going sideways,” added Hastings, who believes that any impact from the legislation, if passed, would be minimal. Instead, Hastings wonders if future tariffs may be more problematic. “There will be tariffs on other goods coming from China. Does that include raw materials and innovation? It’s hard to imagine that it won’t,” he said. 

But executives and investors expect deals to continue, meaning U.S. biotechs will have to do more to compete. 

“U.S. companies will need to figure out what it is they’re able to bring to the table that others can’t,” said Burow, of Arch. 

Borisy said startups working on first-of-their-kind drugs need to be more secretive than ever. “Do not publish. Do not present at a scientific meeting. Do not put out a poster. Try to make your initial patent filing as obtuse as possible,” he cautioned. 

“The second that paper comes out, or poster at any scientific meeting, or talk or patent, assume it has launched a thousand ships.”

Those that are further along should assume companies in China will be quick on their heels with potentially superior drugs. “The day when you could come out with a bad molecule and open up a field is over,” he said. 

Greater competition isn’t necessarily a bad thing, according to Neil Kumar, CEO of BridgeBio Pharma. Drug development could become more efficient as pharmas acquire medicines from a “cheaper” starting point and advance them more quickly. 

Venture dollars could be directed towards newer ideas, rather than standing up a host of similar companies.“If all of a sudden this makes us less ‘lemming-like,’” Kumar said, “I have no problem with that.”

Li similarly argues that, going forward, U.S. companies need to focus on “novelty and innovation.” At his own company, Li is now working on things “we felt others were not able to access.”

“The game has always been the same. Bring something super differentiated to market,” he said. But “the bar has risen.” 

 Gwendolyn Wu and Jacob Bell contributed reporting. 

Is Chinese Biotechs just Producing Me-Too Drugs or are they Innovating New Molecular Entities?

The following articles explain the areas in which Chinese Biotech is expanding and focused on.

However the sort answer and summary to the aforementioned question is: Definately Chinese Biotechs are innovating at a rapid pace, and new molecular entities and new classes of drugs are outpacing any copycat or mee-too generic drug development.

This article  by Joe Renny on LinkedIn focuses on the degree of innovation in Chinese biotech companies. I put the article in mostly its entirety because Joe did an excellent analysis of China’s biotech industry.

You can see the full article here: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/copy-chinas-biotech-boom-can-really-solve-pharmas-roi-joe-renny-rerge/ 

China’s Biotech Boom: Can It Really Solve Pharma’s ROI Problem?

Joe Renny

Joe Renny: Strategic Growth Leader | Driving M&A, Pharma Partnerships & Innovation | Unlocking the Commercial Potential of Science | Biotech & Pharmaceuticals

China’s biotech sector is in the midst of a stunning surge – its stocks have skyrocketed over 60% this year (outpacing even China’s high-flying tech sector), and the country now has over 1,250 innovative drugs in development, nearly catching up with the U.S. pipeline of ~1,440. Once known mainly for generic manufacturing, China is rapidly emerging as a source of differentiated innovation. Global pharma giants have taken notice: major licensing deals are proliferating as Western drugmakers snap up Chinese-born therapies in fields like oncology, metabolic diseases (obesity/diabetes), and immunology. The excitement is palpable – but a critical question looms beneath the optimism: Can this wave of innovation meaningfully improve the pharmaceutical industry’s return on investment (ROI)? In other words, will China’s biotech boom fix the underlying economics of drug development, or are the same old ROI challenges here to stay?

From Copycats to Cutting-Edge: China’s Rapid Ascent in Biotech

In the past decade, China’s pharma landscape has transformed from copycat chemistry to cutting-edge biotech. The sheer scale of innovation is unprecedented. A recent analysis found China had over 1,250 novel drug candidates enter development in 2024, far surpassing the EU and nearly reaching U.S. levels. This is a remarkable jump from just a few years ago – back in 2015, China contributed only ~160 compounds globally. Reforms to streamline drug approvals and massive R&D investments (spurred by initiatives like Made in China 2025) have unleashed a boom led by returnee scientists and ambitious startups.

Importantly, the quality of Chinese innovation has leapt upward alongside quantity. Drugs originating in China are increasingly clearing high bars of efficacy and safety. The world’s strictest regulators, including the U.S. FDA and European EMA, have begun fast-tracking more Chinese-developed drugs with priority reviews and “breakthrough” designations. For example, a cell therapy for blood cancer developed by China’s Legend Biotech won FDA approval (marketed by Johnson & Johnson) and is considered superior to a rival U.S. therapy. Another China-origin drug – Akeso Inc.’s novel cancer antibody that outperformed Merck’s Keytruda in trials – triggered a global wave of interest and a $500 million licensing deal in 2022. In short, China is no longer just a low-cost manufacturing base; it’s producing world-class treatments that Big Pharma is eager to get its hands on.

This trend is also evident in the stock markets. After a four-year slump, Chinese biotech stocks have roared back, becoming one of Asia’s best-performing sectors in 2025. The Hang Seng Biotech Index in Hong Kong is up over 60% since January, vastly outperforming broader tech indices. Investors are excited by signals that China is becoming a true global hub for biopharma innovation. According to one analyst, “China biotech is now a disruptive force reshaping global drug innovation… The science is real, the economics are compelling, and the pipeline is starting to deliver”. All of this represents a fundamental shift in the industry’s centre of gravity – and perhaps a new source of competitive pressure on Western incumbents.

Western Pharma’s Response: Licensing Deals and Partnerships Accelerate

Global pharmaceutical companies aren’t standing on the sidelines – they’re rushing to collaborate with and invest in Chinese biotechs. In fact, U.S. and European drugmakers have dramatically stepped up licensing deals to tap China’s innovations. Through the first half of 2025 alone, U.S. companies signed 14 licensing agreements worth up to $18.3 billion for Chinese-origin drugs, a huge jump from just 2 such deals in the same period a year earlier. Many of these partnerships involve potential blockbusters in cancer, metabolic disorders, and other areas where Chinese R&D is making leaps.

  • Oncology: China has become a hotbed for cancer drug innovation, especially with advanced biologics like bispecific antibodies. In May 2025, Pfizer paid a record $1.25 billion upfront to license a PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody from China’s 3SBio (a deal worth up to $6 billion with milestones). Weeks later, Bristol Myers Squibb struck an $11.5 billion alliance for a similar immunotherapy developed in China. Virtually every active clinical trial for certain cutting-edge cancer combos (like PD-1/VEGF drugs) now originates in China, making it a goldmine for Western firms seeking the next breakthrough. AstraZeneca, Merck, Novartis, and others have all scooped up Chinese cancer therapies in recent years as they cast their nets wider for innovation.
  • Metabolic & Obesity Drugs: Western pharma is also eyeing China’s contributions in metabolic diseases. Notably, Merck licensed a Chinese-developed GLP-1 oral drug (for diabetes/obesity) from Hansoh Pharma in late 2022 for up to $1.7 billion. And in 2025, Regeneron paid $80 million upfront (in a deal worth up to $2 billion) for rights to an experimental obesity drug from Hansoh. These deals underscore that Chinese labs are producing competitive candidates in the red-hot obesity/diabetes arena – an area of huge global market potential.
  • Autoimmune & Other Areas: While oncology leads, Chinese biotechs are also advancing novel therapies in immunology and autoimmune diseases. For example, multiple deals in 2024–25 have focused on inflammatory conditions and neurology, indicating breadth in China’s pipeline. As one industry banker observed, roughly one-third of all new assets licensed by large pharmas in 2024 originated from China, and this could rise to 40–50% in coming years. In other words, nearly half of Big Pharma’s in-licensed pipeline may soon be sourced from China – a radical change from a decade ago.

Underpinning this deal frenzy is a stark reversal of roles: China has shifted from mostly importing therapies to now exporting its homegrown innovations. Back in 2015, Chinese companies mainly signed “license-in” deals to bring foreign drugs to China. But by 2024, nearly half of China’s transactions were license-out deals, with Chinese firms granting global rights to their own drugs. In 2024 alone, Chinese biotechs out-licensed 94 novel projects to overseas partners, often at early clinical stages. This boom in outbound deals – especially for high-value cancer therapies (like ADCs and bispecific antibodies) – highlights China’s maturation as an innovation engine.

In a scientific paper published by Yan et al, the authors provided a comparative analysis between the US, EU, and China of new approved drugs from the years 2019- 2023.

Yan Y, Guo X, Li Z, Shi W, Long M, Yue X, Kong F, Zhao Z. New Drug Approvals in China: An International Comparative Analysis, 2019-2023. Drug Des Devel Ther. 2025 Apr 3;19:2629-2639. doi: 10.2147/DDDT.S514132.

In the paper, the authors retrieved approval data from from the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA), Food and Drug Administration (FDA), European Medicines Agency (EMA), and Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency (PMDA), including information on the generic name, trade name, applicants, target, approval date, drug type, approved indications, therapeutic area, the highest R&D status in China, and special approval status. The approval time gaps between China and other regions were calculated.

Results: Interestingly, China led with 256 new drug approvals, followed by the US (243 approvals), the EU (191 approvals), and Japan (187 approvals). Oncology, hematology, and infectiology were identified as the leading therapeutic areas globally and in China. Notably, PD-1 and EGFR inhibitors saw substantial approval, with 8 drugs each approved by the NMPA. China significantly reduced the approval timeline gap with the US and the EU since 2021, approving 15 first-in-class drugs during the study period.

The authors concluded, that despite the COVID-19 years, Chinese biotech has rapidly innovated in the biotech space and made up for the time gaps with increased research productivity.

Number of drug approvals by regulatory agency. Source: Yan Y, Guo X, Li Z, Shi W, Long M, Yue X, Kong F, Zhao Z. New Drug Approvals in China: An International Comparative Analysis, 2019-2023. Drug Des Devel Ther. 2025 Apr 3;19:2629-2639. doi: 10.2147/DDDT.S514132.

A comparison of drug approvals in US and China, as percentage of clinical use in various disease states. Source: Yan Y, Guo X, Li Z, Shi W, Long M, Yue X, Kong F, Zhao Z. New Drug Approvals in China: An International Comparative Analysis, 2019-2023. Drug Des Devel Ther. 2025 Apr 3;19:2629-2639. doi: 10.2147/DDDT.S514132.

China Biotech Innovation Hubs

The following was generated by Google AI

China has several prominent biotech innovation hubs, with the Yangtze River Delta region (including Shanghai, Suzhou, and Hangzhou) and Beijing being particularly strong. These regions leverage strong academic and research institutions, high R&D expenditures, and significant investment to foster a vibrant biotech ecosystem. 

Here’s a closer look at some key hubs:

Yangtze River Delta:

  • Shanghai:
    A major hub with a focus on oncology, cell and gene therapy, and a strong track record of biotech IPOs. It’s home to the Zhangjiang Biotech and Pharmaceutical Base, known as China’s “Medicine Valley”. 
  • Suzhou:
    Known for the BioBay industrial park, which houses numerous biotechnology and technology companies. 
  • Hangzhou:
    Features a growing biotech sector, with companies like Hangzhou DAC Biotech. 

Other Notable Hubs:

Key Factors Driving Growth:

  • Strong government support and investment:
    China has been actively promoting the growth of its biotech sector through various initiatives and funding programs. 
  • High R&D expenditures:
    China is investing heavily in research and development, particularly in the tech, manufacturing, and biotech sectors. 
  • Increasingly strong talent pool:
    China is producing a growing number of STEM graduates and globally recognized researchers. 
  • AI and technology integration:
    AI is being applied to drug design and discovery, accelerating innovation. 
  • Focus on specific areas:
    Different hubs are specializing in areas like oncology, regenerative medicine, and medical devices. 

Overall, China’s biotech sector is experiencing rapid growth and is becoming a significant player in the global landscape, with these hubs leading the way. 

 

Articles of Interest on International Biotech Venture Investment on the Open Access Scientific Journal Include:

10th annual World Medical Innovation Forum (WMIF) Monday, Sept. 23–Wednesday, Sept. 25 at the Encore Boston Harbor in Boston

CAR T-Cell Therapy Market: 2020 – 2027 – Global Market Analysis and Industry Forecast

2021 Virtual World Medical Innovation Forum, Mass General Brigham, Gene and Cell Therapy, VIRTUAL May 19–21, 2021

Real Time Coverage @BIOConvention #BIO2019: What’s Next: The Landscape of Innovation in 2019 and Beyond. 3-4 PM June 3 Philadelphia PA

 

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Bridging the Gender Gap in Healthcare: Unlocking Biopharma’s Potential in Women’s Health

Curator: Dr. Sudipta Saha, Ph.D.

Nearly half of the global population—and 80 percent of patients in therapeutic areas such as immunology—are women. Yet, treatments are frequently developed without tailored insights for female patients, often ignoring critical biological differences such as hormonal impacts, genetic factors, and cellular sex. Historically, women’s health has been narrowly defined through the lens of reproductive organs, while for non-reproductive conditions, women were treated as “small men.” This lack of focus on sex-specific biology has contributed to significant gaps in healthcare.

A recent analysis found that women spend 25 percent more of their lives in poor health compared with men due to the absence of sex-based treatments. Addressing this disparity could not only improve women’s quality of life but also unlock over $1 trillion in annual global GDP by 2040.

Four key factors contribute to the women’s health gap: limited understanding of sex-based biological differences, healthcare systems designed around male physiology, incomplete data that underestimates women’s disease burden, and chronic underfunding of female-focused research. For instance, despite women representing 78 percent of U.S. rheumatoid arthritis patients, only 7 percent of related NIH funding in 2019 targeted female-specific studies.

However, change is happening. Companies have demonstrated how targeted R&D can drive better outcomes for women. These therapies achieved expanded FDA approvals after clinical trials revealed their unique benefits for female patients. Similarly, addressing sex-based treatment gaps in asthma, atrial fibrillation, and tuberculosis could prevent millions of disability-adjusted life years.

By closing the women’s health gap, biopharma companies can drive innovation, improve therapeutic outcomes, and build high-growth markets while addressing long-standing inequities. This untapped opportunity holds the potential to transform global health outcomes for women and create a more equitable future.

References

https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/life-sciences/our-insights/closing-the-womens-health-gap-biopharmas-untapped-opportunity?stcr=97136BA6BDD64C2396A57E9487438CC6

https://www.weforum.org

https://www.nih.gov

https://www.fda.gov

https://www.who.int

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The Health Care Dossier on Clarivate PLC: How Cortellis Is Changing the Life Sciences Industry

Curator: Stephen J. Williams, Ph.D.

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clarivate 

Clarivate Plc is a British-American publicly traded analytics company that operates a collection of subscription-based services, in the areas of bibliometrics and scientometrics; business / market intelligence, and competitive profiling for pharmacy and biotech, patents, and regulatory compliance; trademark protection, and domain and brand protection. In the academy and the scientific community, Clarivate is known for being the company that calculates the impact factor,[4] using data from its Web of Science product family, that also includes services/applications such as Publons, EndNote, EndNote Click, and ScholarOne. Its other product families are Cortellis, DRG, CPA Global, Derwent, MarkMonitor, CompuMark, and Darts-ip, [3] and also the various ProQuest products and services.

Clarivate was formed in 2016, following the acquisition of Thomson Reuters‘ Intellectual Property and Science business by Onex Corporation and Baring Private Equity Asia. Clarivate has acquired various companies since then, including, notably, ProQuest in 2021.

Further information: Thomson Scientific

Clarivate (formerly CPA Global) was formerly the Intellectual Property and Science division of Thomson Reuters. Before 2008, it was known as Thomson Scientific. In 2016, Thomson Reuters struck a $3.55 billion deal in which they spun it off as an independent company, and sold it to private-equity firms Onex Corporation and Baring Private Equity Asia.

In May 2019, Clarivate merged with the Churchill Capital Corp SPAC to obtain a public listing on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) It currently trades with symbol NYSE:CLVT.

Acquisitions

  • June 1, 2017: Publons, a platform for researchers to share recognition for peer review.
  • April 10, 2018: Kopernio, AI-tech startup providing ability to search for full-text versions of selected scientific journal articles.
  • October 30, 2018: TrademarkVision, provider of Artificial Intelligence (AI) trademark research applications.
  • September 9, 2019: SequenceBase, provider of patent sequence information and search technology to the biotech, pharmaceutical and chemical industries.
  • December 2, 2019: Darts-ip, provider of case law data and analytics for intellectual property (IP) professionals.
  • January 17, 2020: Decision Resources Group (DRG), a leading healthcare research and consulting company, providing high-value healthcare industry analysis and insights.
  • June 22, 2020: CustomersFirst Now, in intellectual property (“IP”) software and tech-enabled services.
  • October 1, 2020: CPA Global, intellectual property (“IP”) software and tech-enabled services.
  • December 1, 2021: ProQuest, software, data and analytics provider to academic, research and national institutions.[27]It was acquired for $5.3 billion from Cambridge Information Group in what was described as a “huge deal in the library and information publishing world”. The company said that the operational concept behind the acquisition was integrating ProQuest’s products and applications with Web of Science. Chairman of ProQuest Andy Snyder became the vice chairman of Clarivate. The Scholarly Publishing and Academic Resources Coalition, an advocacy group for open access to scholarship, voiced antitrust concerns. The acquisition had been delayed mid-year due to a Federal Trade Commission antitrust probe.

Divestments

How Clarivate Has Changed Since 2019

2019 Strategy

From 2019 Manager Discussion Yearly Report

We are a leading global information services and analytics company serving the scientific research, intellectual property and life sciences end-markets. We provide structured information and analytics to facilitate the discovery, protection and commercialization of scientific research, innovations and brands.  Our product porfolio includes well-established market-leading brands such as Web of Science, Derwent Innovation, Life Sciences, CompuMark and MarkMonitor (which they later divested).  We believe that the stron balue proposition of our content, user interfaces, visualization and analytical tools, combined with the integration of our products and services into customers’ daily workflows, leads to our substantial customer loyalty as evidenced by their willingness to renew subscriptions with us.

Our structure, enabling a sharp focus on cross-selling opportunities within markets, is comprised of two product groups:

  • Science Group: consists of Web of Science and Life Science Product Lines
  • Intellectual Property Group: consists of Derwent, CompuMark and MarkMonitor

Corporations, government agencies, universities, law firms depend on our high-value curated content, analytics and services.  Unstructured data has grown exponentially over the last decade.  The trend has resulted in a critical need for unstructured data to be meaningfully filtered, analyzed and curated into relvent information that facilitates key operational and strategic decision making.  Our highly curated, proprietary information created through our sourcing, aggregation, verification, translation, and categorization (ONTOLOGY) of data has resulted in our solutions being embedded in our customers’ workflow and decision-making processes.

Overview of Clarivate PLC five year strategy in 2019. Note that in 2019 the Science Group accounted for 56.2% of revenue! This was driven by their product Cortellis!

Figure.  Overview of Clarivate PLC five year strategy in 2019. Note that in 2019 the Science Group accounted for 56.2% of revenue! This was driven by their product Cortellis!

Also Note nowhere in the M&A Discussion in years before 2023 was anything mentioned concerning AI or Large Language Models.

The Clarivate of Today:  Built for Life Sciences with Cortellis

Clarivate PLC has integrated multiple platforms into their offering Cortellis, which integrated AI and LLM into the structured knowledge bases (see more at https://clarivate.com/products/cortellis-family/)

“Life sciences organizations are tasked, now more than ever, to discover and develop treatments that challenge the status quo, increase ROI, and improve patient lives. However, its become increasingly difficult to find, integrate and analyze the key data your teams need to make critical decisions and get your Cortellis products to patients faster.

The Cortellis solutions help research and development, portfolio strategy and business development, and regulatory and compliance professionals gather and assess the information you need to discover innovative drugs, differentiate your treatments, and increase chances of successful regulatory approval.

Some of Cortellis solutions include:

  1. Cortellis Competitive Intelligence: maximize ROI and improve patient outcomes
  2. Cortellis Deals Intelligence: Portfolio Strategy and Business Development (find best deal)
  3. Cortellis Clinical Intelligence: Clinical Trial Support and Regulatory
  4. Cortellis Digital Health Intelligence: understand digital health ecosystem
  5. Cortellis Drug Discovery: improve drug development speed and efficiency
  6. MetaBase and MetaCore: integrated omics knowledge bases for drug discovery
  7. Cortellis Regulatory: help with filings
  8. Cortellis HTA: health tech compliance (HIPAA)
  9. CMC Intelligence: new drug marketing
  10. Generics Intelligence
  11. Drug Safety Intelligence: both preclinical safety and post marketing pharmacovigilence

Watch Videos on Cortellis for Drug Discovery

Watch Video on Qiagen Site to see how Cortellis Integrates with Qiagen Omics Platform IPA with Clarivate Meta Core to gain more insights into genomic and proteomic data

https://digitalinsights.qiagen.com/products-overview/discovery-insights-portfolio/analysis-and-visualization/qiagen-ipa/?cmpid=QDI_GA_Comp&gad_source=2&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIwu6HtvHGhQMVnZ9aBR1iCgHTEAEYASAAEgJiWPD_BwE

From the Qiagen website on Ingenuity Pathway Analysis: https://digitalinsights.qiagen.com/products-overview/discovery-insights-portfolio/analysis-and-visualization/qiagen-ipa/ 

Understand complex ‘omics data to accelerate your research

Discover why QIAGEN Ingenuity Pathway Analysis (IPA) is the leading pathway analysis application among the life science research community and is cited in tens of thousands of articles for the analysis, integration and interpretation of data derived from ‘omics experiments. Such experiments include:

  • RNA-seq
  • Small RNA-seq
  • Metabolomics
  • Proteomics
  • Microarrays including miRNA and SNP
  • Small-scale experiments

With QIAGEN IPA you can predict downstream effects and identify new targets or candidate biomarkers. QIAGEN Ingenuity Pathway Analysis helps you perform insightful data analysis and interpretation to understand your experimental results within the context of various biological systems.

Articles Relevant to Drug Development, Natural Language Processing in Drug Development, and Clarivate on this Open Access Scientific Journal Include:

The Use of ChatGPT in the World of BioInformatics and Cancer Research and Development of BioGPT by MIT

From High-Throughput Assay to Systems Biology: New Tools for Drug Discovery

Medical Startups – Artificial Intelligence (AI) Startups in Healthcare

New York Academy of Sciences Symposium: The New Wave of AI in Healthcare 2024. May 1-2, 2024 New York City, NY

Clarivate Analytics – a Powerhouse in IP assets and in Pharmaceuticals Informercials

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