Unicorns Behavior in the MarketPlace: Research by Prof. Ilya Strebulaev at Stanford University, GSB
Reported by Aviva Lev-Ari, PhD, RN
The following observations are covered in a series of post by Prof. Strebulaev on LinkedIn:
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How Long Does It Take for Unicorns to Exit?
Ilya Strebulaev posted this • 23h23h
How Long Does It Take for Unicorns to Exit?
For a sample of 396 exited US unicorns, it takes an average (median) of about 9 (8) years since founding to exit, where exit means going public, acquisition, or liquidation/bankruptcy.
There is a lot of variation, though. For example, some unicorns exited faster. YouTube was acquired by Google less than 2 years after founding, and Allogene Therapeutics went public in less than 2 years. Some companies had to wait a long time. AvidXchange, Inc. went public in about 21 years, and LinkedIn acquired Lynda.com approximately 20 years after Lynda.com ’s founding.
NB: Many unicorns in the sample have not yet exited, so both mean and median will eventually increase.
This research has been done with the help of the Stanford University Graduate School of Business Venture Capital Initiative.
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2. How Many Countries Have Produced Unicorn Founders?
Ilya Strebulaev posted this • 5d5d
How Many Countries Have Produced Unicorn Founders?
A couple weeks ago, I posted results of my research on the countries of birth of over a thousand founders of 500 US-based unicorns on LinkedIn. Almost half of unicorn founders, for whom my team and I were able to identify country of birth, were born outside the US. This generated a lot of interest and the list of top countries (India, Israel, Canada, UK, China, etc.) was shared widely.
As a follow up, have a look at all the countries that my team and I identified.
65 countries from all over the world have “produced” at least one founder of a US unicorn.
Takeaway: Immigrants from many countries contribute to the innovation ecosystem in the US.
European countries include Belgium (9 founders), Spain (9), Netherlands (7), Romania (5), Denmark (5), Italy (5), and Poland (5).
Asian countries include Iran (9), Lebanon (4), Japan (3), Pakistan (3), and Turkey (2).
African countries include South Africa (5) and Zimbabwe (2).
Latin America includes Brazil (9), Argentina (4), and Guatemala (2).
Australasia is represented by Australia (8) and New Zealand (6).
Important note: This list includes only founders of US-based unicorns.
This research has been done with the help of the Stanford University Graduate School of Business Venture Capital Initiative.
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. 3. What are Unicorn Valuations at Their Exit Times?
Ilya Strebulaev posted this • 1w1w
What are Unicorn Valuations at Their Exit Times?
For a sample of 531 US unicorns, 396 had exited (went public, were acquired, or closed) as of January 2022. At exit time, an average (median) unicorn was valued at $4 billion ($1.6 billion). Half had a valuation of less than $2 billion.
50 unicorns, or 13%, had a valuation below $1 billion. For example, Casper and Reata Pharmaceuticals, Inc. had a net IPO valuation of $375 million and $176 million, respectively, while LivingSocial was acquired for virtually nothing.
31 unicorns, or 8%, were in the “decacorn” range at time of exit, or over $10 billion. Uber was valued at about $68 billion, Meta at $65 billion, and Coinbase at $48 billion.
Takeaway: There is huge variation in unicorn valuations at exit time.
This research has been done with the support of Stanford University Graduate School of Business Venture Capital Initiative. NB: For public companies, I used net IPO valuation; for acquired/closed companies, I used gross valuation.
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4. Who is Acquiring Unicorns?
Ilya Strebulaev posted this • 1w1w
For a sample of 396 exited US unicorns, 135 companies (34%) were acquired.
The majority of these acquirers are public companies, responsible for 105 (78%) of all unicorn acquisitions. 18 (23%) of these public companies acquired two or more unicorns. Cisco bought five unicorns, including Duo Security , Cerent, and AppDynamics . Alphabet Inc. purchased four unicorns: YouTube , Nest Labs , Actifio , and Looker . Meta acquired Oculus VR , Instagram , WhatsApp , and CTRL-labs .
Of these public acquirers, 56 (75%) are based in the U.S. There are five acquirers from the U.K., three from Canada, and three from Switzerland.
Two private equity funds, Thoma Bravo and Vista Equity Partners , acquired two unicorns each.
Takeaway: Many large companies are actively acquiring unicorns (among other VC-backed companies, of course).
This research has been done with the help of the Stanford University Graduate School of Business Venture Capital Initiative.
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